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AFC Wimbledon
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Walsall
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 19
Nov 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
The County Ground
Crewe Alexandra

Swindon
0 - 1
Crewe


Brennan (40'), Iandolo (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Agyei (23' pen.)
King (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swindon 1-1 Tranmere
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 2-1 Crewe Alexandra

We can envisage an entertaining affair in Wiltshire on Saturday, with the hosts likely to come out on top. Swindon's home form has been impressive in recent weeks, with Crewe's tough slog against hapless Colchester last weekend hardly inspiring confidence that they can avoid defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 69.49%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 11.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.57%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawCrewe Alexandra
69.49% (0.206 0.21) 18.99% (-0.041 -0.04) 11.52% (-0.161 -0.16)
Both teams to score 44.86% (-0.373 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.42% (-0.218 -0.22)46.58% (0.222 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.15% (-0.205 -0.21)68.85% (0.20899999999999 0.21)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.75% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)12.25% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.03% (-0.012 -0.01)37.98% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.13% (-0.421 -0.42)48.87% (0.424 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.14% (-0.304 -0.3)83.86% (0.30799999999999 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 69.48%
    Crewe Alexandra 11.52%
    Draw 18.99%
Swindon TownDrawCrewe Alexandra
2-0 @ 13.19% (0.11 0.11)
1-0 @ 12.57% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-0 @ 9.24% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
3-1 @ 6.61% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 4.85% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.47% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.038 -0.04)
5-0 @ 2.04% (0.016 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.46% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 69.48%
1-1 @ 9% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.99% (0.056 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.38% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 18.99%
0-1 @ 4.29% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.22% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-2 @ 1.54% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 11.52%

How you voted: Swindon vs Crewe

Swindon Town
78.3%
Draw
8.7%
Crewe Alexandra
13.0%
23
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
Crewe
0-3
Swindon

Robertson (79')
Reed (25'), Simpson (52'), Payne (79')
Williams (38'), Reed (75')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Swindon
2-1
Crewe
Johnson (10' og.), Twine (90+4')
Thompson (84')
Lowery (5')
Lowery (70')
Dec 1, 2020 7pm
Crewe
4-2
Swindon
Powell (39'), Ng (54'), Lowery (63'), Dale (66')
Grant (20'), Smith (38')
Broadbent (68')
Jan 11, 2020 3pm
Swindon
3-1
Crewe
Hunt (32'), Yates (69'), Rose (72')
Caddis (80'), Woolery (95')
Anene (61')
Oct 19, 2019 3pm
Crewe
3-1
Swindon
Porter (59', 90'), Kirk (94')
Doyle (37')
Woolery (76'), Rose (78'), Lyden (80'), Doyle (83')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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