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Tranmere Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 15
Oct 14, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Prenton Park
Crewe Alexandra

Tranmere
3 - 0
Crewe

Simeu (22'), Nevitt (56', 90')
Merrie (52')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Tranmere Rovers and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crewe 1-1 Gillingham
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Tranmere Rovers 1-0 Crewe Alexandra

With Tranmere on such an impressive run of form, it is difficult to see past them making it five consecutive wins on Friday. Crewe will not make it easy for them however, having taken decent points away at Carlisle United and Bradford City, and so we expect Tranmere to win by a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 53.27%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 21.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tranmere Rovers would win this match.

Result
Tranmere RoversDrawCrewe Alexandra
53.27% (0.045999999999999 0.05) 24.96% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 21.76% (-0.058 -0.06)
Both teams to score 48.32% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.48% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)53.52% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.96% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08)75.03% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.93% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)20.07% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.7% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)52.3% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.45% (-0.11 -0.11)39.55% (0.105 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.77% (-0.101 -0.1)76.23% (0.096999999999994 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Tranmere Rovers 53.26%
    Crewe Alexandra 21.76%
    Draw 24.96%
Tranmere RoversDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 12.74% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 10.23% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.5% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
3-0 @ 5.48% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.08% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 53.26%
1-1 @ 11.82%
0-0 @ 7.94% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.4% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 24.96%
0-1 @ 7.36% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-2 @ 5.49% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.42% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.7% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.36% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.06% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 21.76%

How you voted: Tranmere vs Crewe

Tranmere Rovers
81.3%
Draw
4.2%
Crewe Alexandra
14.6%
48
Head to Head
Mar 8, 2019 7.45pm
Nov 17, 2018 3pm
Crewe
3-2
Tranmere
Ainley (20', 51'), Kirk (67')
Norwood (36'), Banks (83')
Mullin (79'), Banks (89'), Norwood (89')
Sep 4, 2018 7.45pm
Tranmere
3-4
Crewe
Harris (45'), Stockton (45'), Mullin (46')
Gilmour (80'), Jennings (90')
Porter (20', 85'), Nicholls (73'), Jones (86')
Ray (79')
Jan 25, 2014 3pm
Tranmere
1-0
Crewe
Pennington (28')
Kennedy (36'), Koumas (83')

Evans (37'), Mellor (39')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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