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Walsall
Gillingham
League Two | Gameweek 27
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
Hartlepool United

Gillingham
2 - 0
Hartlepool

Nichols (39'), Jefferies (59')
Dieng (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dolan (19'), Tumilty (38')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Gillingham and Hartlepool United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 44.65%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.

Result
GillinghamDrawHartlepool United
44.65% (-0.142 -0.14) 27.2% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 28.15% (0.168 0.17)
Both teams to score 47.82% (0.164 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.87% (0.16 0.16)57.13% (-0.155 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22% (0.128 0.13)78% (-0.124 -0.12)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.53% (0.0010000000000048 0)25.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.7%60.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.17% (0.221 0.22)35.84% (-0.217 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.39% (0.225 0.23)72.61% (-0.22099999999999 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 44.65%
    Hartlepool United 28.15%
    Draw 27.2%
GillinghamDrawHartlepool United
1-0 @ 12.48% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 8.76% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 8.54% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.99% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 3.89% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.05% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.37%
4-0 @ 1.33% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 44.65%
1-1 @ 12.81%
0-0 @ 9.13% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.5% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.2%
0-1 @ 9.37%
1-2 @ 6.57% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.81% (0.028 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.25% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.64% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.54% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 28.15%

Head to Head
Sep 24, 2022 3pm
Nov 21, 2018 7.45pm
First Round Replays
Hartlepool
3-4
Gillingham
Magnay (21'), McLaughlin (32'), O'Neill (115')
Featherstone (45'), Loach (90')
Ehmer (50'), Eaves (90' pen.), O'Neill (102'), List (107')
Fuller (59'), Bingham (59')
Nov 10, 2018 3pm
Jan 26, 2010 3pm
Aug 22, 2009 3pm
Gillingham
0-1
Hartlepool

Miller (36'), Nutter (82')
Brown (65')
Hartley (13'), McSweeney (72')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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