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Rochdale
League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
Crown Oil Arena
Hartlepool United

Rochdale
1 - 2
Hartlepool

Henderson (60')
Nelson (44')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Menayese (39'), Cooke (80')
Umerah (72'), Sterry (77'), Killip (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Rochdale and Hartlepool United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rochdale 1-4 Harrogate
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Rochdale 2-1 Hartlepool United

Defensively, the Pools have looked out of sorts and unsure of themselves through much of the campaign, and one solid outing is not enough to suggest they have fixed all of those deficiencies which we have seen this season. Aside from their previous encounter, most of Rochdale's matches have been right there for the taking, and finding the back of the net against a unit as leaky as Pools should be a little easier for them than it has been in previous encounters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 47.17%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 25.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
RochdaleDrawHartlepool United
47.17% (0.359 0.36) 27.5% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 25.33% (-0.339 -0.34)
Both teams to score 45.01% (-0.211 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.27% (-0.131 -0.13)59.73% (0.131 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.97% (-0.099999999999998 -0.1)80.03% (0.101 0.1)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.6% (0.11499999999999 0.11)25.4% (-0.115 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.79% (0.158 0.16)60.2% (-0.157 -0.16)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.34% (-0.376 -0.38)39.66% (0.376 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.66% (-0.35 -0.35)76.34% (0.34999999999999 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 47.16%
    Hartlepool United 25.33%
    Draw 27.49%
RochdaleDrawHartlepool United
1-0 @ 13.8% (0.11 0.11)
2-0 @ 9.46% (0.109 0.11)
2-1 @ 8.75% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.32% (0.064 0.06)
3-1 @ 4% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.85% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.48% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.37% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 47.16%
1-1 @ 12.76% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 10.07% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.05% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 27.49%
0-1 @ 9.32% (-0.049000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 5.9% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-2 @ 4.31% (-0.068 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.82% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.33% (-0.035 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 25.33%

How you voted: Rochdale vs Hartlepool

Rochdale
60.0%
Draw
0.0%
Hartlepool United
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Rochdale
2-1
Hartlepool
Keohane (61'), O'Connell (90+4')
Dooley (83')
Morris (10')
Dec 8, 2021 7.45pm
Hartlepool
2-1
Rochdale
Cullen (64'), Shelton (90+2')
Odusina (15')
Andrews (55')
White (66')
Jan 11, 2014 3pm
Hartlepool
0-3
Rochdale

Walton (39')
Donnelly (50'), Cavanagh (63'), Cummins (90')
Cavanagh (57'), Hogan (69')
Aug 3, 2013 3pm
Rochdale
3-0
Hartlepool
Hogan (14'), Donnelly (50'), Henderson (58')
Rafferty (38')
Jan 7, 2012 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall28185554302459
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster29157742321052
3Notts County28148645281750
4AFC Wimbledon27146739201948
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe291212536251148
6Port Vale2813963529648
7Bradford CityBradford28138738281047
8Salford City2912983629745
9Grimsby Town29133134045-542
10Chesterfield28109943321139
11MK Dons28115124240238
12Cheltenham TownCheltenham28108103739-238
13Colchester UnitedColchester2881373329437
14Swindon TownSwindon30910114344-137
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood279993735236
16Bromley2981293940-136
17Newport CountyNewport2896133747-1033
18Gillingham2795132529-432
19BarrowBarrow2887132732-531
20Harrogate TownHarrogate3086162541-1630
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2778123445-1129
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2868142146-2526
23Morecambe2965182746-1923
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2856172246-2421


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