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Hartlepool United
FA Cup | Second Round
Nov 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
Victoria Park
Harrogate Town

Hartlepool
3 - 1
Harrogate

Cooke (41'), Umerah (45+4' pen., 71')
Missilou (19'), Umerah (77')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coley (73')
Mattock (22'), Burrell (40'), Headley (64'), Coley (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Hartlepool United and Harrogate Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barrow 3-1 Hartlepool
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 3-0 Mansfield
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Hartlepool United 0-1 Harrogate Town

Hartlepool are facing a harsh winter period as they look to survive in League Two, but a successful run in the FA Cup could help lift spirits around the club. Harrogate are high on confidence after that brilliant victory over Mansfield and although the atmosphere will be hostile on Saturday, we are backing the visitors to earn a place in the third-round draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.

Result
Hartlepool UnitedDrawHarrogate Town
42.55% (-0.0040000000000049 -0) 26.08%31.37% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 52.83% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)51.47% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)73.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.01% (0.0010000000000048 0)23.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.76%58.24% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.5% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)30.5% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.28% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)66.72% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Hartlepool United 42.55%
    Harrogate Town 31.37%
    Draw 26.08%
Hartlepool UnitedDrawHarrogate Town
1-0 @ 10.44%
2-1 @ 8.85% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.46% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.21%
3-0 @ 3.55% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.5%
4-1 @ 1.5%
4-0 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 42.55%
1-1 @ 12.4%
0-0 @ 7.32% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.26% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.08%
0-1 @ 8.69%
1-2 @ 7.37% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.16% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.92% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.08%
0-3 @ 2.04%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 31.37%

How you voted: Hartlepool vs Harrogate

Hartlepool United
32.7%
Draw
28.6%
Harrogate Town
38.8%
49
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 12.30pm
Aug 30, 2022 7pm
Mar 5, 2022 12.30pm
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Hartlepool
3-2
Harrogate
Ferguson (52'), Cullen (53'), Daly (59')
Byrne (27'), Daly (63')
Thomson (28'), Burdett (35' og.)
Smith (55')
Jan 1, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
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