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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 55.36%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 20.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.
Result | ||
Barrow | Draw | Hartlepool United |
55.36% ( -0.74) | 24.35% ( 0.1) | 20.29% ( 0.64) |
Both teams to score 48.11% ( 0.66) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.24% ( 0.38) | 52.76% ( -0.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.61% ( 0.32) | 74.39% ( -0.32) |
Barrow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.04% ( -0.14) | 18.96% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.52% ( -0.23) | 50.48% ( 0.23) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.36% ( 0.91) | 40.63% ( -0.91) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.77% ( 0.81) | 77.23% ( -0.81) |
Score Analysis |
Barrow | Draw | Hartlepool United |
1-0 @ 12.8% ( -0.25) 2-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 5.32% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.02% Total : 55.35% | 1-1 @ 11.53% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.7% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.79% Total : 24.34% | 0-1 @ 6.94% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.25% Total : 20.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
2 | Port Vale | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Chesterfield | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 34 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Notts County | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 31 |
9 | MK Dons | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
11 | Salford City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 30 |
12 | Bradford CityBradford | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Bromley | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 27 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 26 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
18 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 19 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Morecambe | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |