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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Barrow
League Two | Gameweek 19
Nov 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Dunes Hotel Stadium
Hartlepool United

Barrow
3 - 1
Hartlepool

Gordon (4'), Whitfield (8'), Waters (21')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Missilou (77')
Hastie (17'), Tumilty (43'), Cooke (47'), Sylla (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Barrow and Hartlepool United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crawley 1-0 Barrow
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Barrow 2-0 Hartlepool United

Barrow have won their last four games at Holker Street in all competitions, so strugglers Hartlepool should be no match for them on Saturday. We expect it to be a comprehensive victory for the Bluebirds, and they could win by more if they are really on their game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 55.36%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 20.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.

Result
BarrowDrawHartlepool United
55.36% (-0.73500000000001 -0.74) 24.35% (0.099999999999998 0.1) 20.29% (0.637 0.64)
Both teams to score 48.11% (0.661 0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.24% (0.379 0.38)52.76% (-0.379 -0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.61% (0.323 0.32)74.39% (-0.32199999999999 -0.32)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.04% (-0.137 -0.14)18.96% (0.137 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.52% (-0.227 -0.23)50.48% (0.229 0.23)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.36% (0.91399999999999 0.91)40.63% (-0.913 -0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.77% (0.812 0.81)77.23% (-0.81100000000001 -0.81)
Score Analysis
    Barrow 55.35%
    Hartlepool United 20.29%
    Draw 24.34%
BarrowDrawHartlepool United
1-0 @ 12.8% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-0 @ 10.65% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.91% (-0.168 -0.17)
3-1 @ 5.32% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.46% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.052 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.21% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 55.35%
1-1 @ 11.53% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.7% (-0.116 -0.12)
2-2 @ 4.32% (0.113 0.11)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 24.34%
0-1 @ 6.94% (0.069 0.07)
1-2 @ 5.19% (0.157 0.16)
0-2 @ 3.12% (0.107 0.11)
1-3 @ 1.56% (0.084 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.3% (0.065 0.07)
0-3 @ 0.94% (0.055 0.05)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 20.29%

How you voted: Barrow vs Hartlepool

Barrow
87.1%
Draw
9.7%
Hartlepool United
3.2%
31
Head to Head
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Hartlepool
3-1
Barrow
Molyneux (27', 39'), Bogle (44')
Byrne (50')
Rooney (17')
Driscoll-Glennon (4'), Brown (30'), Taylor (42')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Barrow
3-2
Hartlepool
Zanzala (3'), Gordon (47'), Sea (72')
Arthur (67'), Gordon (90+6')
Burey (17'), Goodwin (61')
Burey (87')
Dec 28, 2019 3pm
Hartlepool
2-2
Barrow
Holohan (55'), Donaldson (76')
Richardson (34'), Toure (52'), Kioso (71')
Hardcastle (46'), Angus (68')
Quigley (73'), Brown (83')
Sep 3, 2019 7.45pm
Barrow
0-1
Hartlepool

Brough (41'), Hardcastle (47'), Barry (78')
Donaldson (71')
Toure (28'), Kioso (81'), Kennedy (91')
Apr 22, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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