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Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 8
Nov 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
CNG Stadium
Carlisle United

Harrogate
3 - 3
Carlisle

Armstrong (28'), Burrell (60'), Headley (76')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Charters (12'), Edmondson (50'), Moxon (90+3')
Edmondson (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Harrogate Town 1-2 Carlisle United

It should be a tight game at the EnviroVent Stadium, and the hosts should be up for it given their predicament. We expect Carlisle to be too strong for them, though, and they should pick up the win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 36.68%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 36.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawCarlisle United
36.63% (-1.315 -1.32) 26.69% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05) 36.68% (1.36 1.36)
Both teams to score 51.94% (0.20800000000001 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.92% (0.239 0.24)53.08% (-0.23999999999999 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.34% (0.201 0.2)74.66% (-0.20400000000001 -0.2)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.05% (-0.651 -0.65)27.94% (0.649 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.43% (-0.83900000000001 -0.84)63.57% (0.837 0.84)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.08% (0.93199999999999 0.93)27.91% (-0.933 -0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.46% (1.175 1.18)63.53% (-1.177 -1.18)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 36.63%
    Carlisle United 36.68%
    Draw 26.69%
Harrogate TownDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 9.95% (-0.275 -0.28)
2-1 @ 8.09% (-0.162 -0.16)
2-0 @ 6.34% (-0.298 -0.3)
3-1 @ 3.44% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-0 @ 2.7% (-0.178 -0.18)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 36.63%
1-1 @ 12.69% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.8% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.16% (0.033 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.69%
0-1 @ 9.95% (0.165 0.16)
1-2 @ 8.1% (0.197 0.2)
0-2 @ 6.35% (0.266 0.27)
1-3 @ 3.44% (0.17 0.17)
0-3 @ 2.7% (0.18 0.18)
2-3 @ 2.2% (0.071 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.1% (0.082 0.08)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 36.68%

How you voted: Harrogate vs Carlisle

Harrogate Town
0.0%
Draw
14.3%
Carlisle United
85.7%
7
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Harrogate
3-0
Carlisle
Diamond (18', 90+1'), McArdle (27')
Austerfield (66'), Sheron (70'), (72')

Devine (35'), Feeney (56')
Jan 4, 2022 7pm
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Carlisle
0-2
Harrogate

Guy (57')
Thomson (45+1'), Pattison (78')
Sheron (41'), Burrell (90+5')
Apr 24, 2021 3pm
Feb 16, 2021 7pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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