Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 23
Feb 7, 2025 at 5pm UK
Stadyum Samsun
We said: Samsunspor 3-1 Hatayspor
Samsunspor, in strong form and with home advantage, are favorites to win against a struggling Hatayspor side, who are without a win in their last 10 matches and have been particularly poor on the road - which is why we are expecting a dominant performance from the hosts and a comfortable victory for them.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samsunspor win with a probability of 61.24% . A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 17.23% .
The most likely scoreline for a Samsunspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (9.91%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%) , while for a Hatayspor win it was 0-1 (5.27%) . The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Samsunspor would win this match.
Result Samsunspor Draw Hatayspor 61.24% ( -0.16) 21.53% ( 0.09) 17.23% ( 0.08)
Both teams to score 51.43% ( -0.13)
54.4% ( -0.25) 45.6% ( 0.25)
32.08% ( -0.24) 67.92% ( 0.24)
85.61% ( -0.13) 14.39% ( 0.13)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 57.72% ( -0.25) 42.28% ( 0.26)
60.07% ( -0.06) 39.93% ( 0.06)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 23.42% ( -0.05) 76.58% ( 0.06)
Samsunspor 61.23%
Hatayspor 17.23%
Draw 21.52%
Samsunspor Draw Hatayspor 1-0 @ 11.13% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 10.79% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.41% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.64% Total : 61.23% 1-1 @ 10.22% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.01% Total : 21.52% 0-1 @ 5.27% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.44% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0) Other @ 2.01% Total : 17.23%
How you voted: Samsunspor vs Hatayspor
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rhs 2.0
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