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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 54.16%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 21.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Rochdale |
54.16% ( 0.39) | 24.46% ( -0.17) | 21.38% ( -0.22) |
Both teams to score 49.3% ( 0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.03% ( 0.43) | 51.97% ( -0.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.29% ( 0.37) | 73.71% ( -0.37) |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.88% ( 0.31) | 19.12% ( -0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.25% ( 0.52) | 50.74% ( -0.52) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.95% ( 0.02) | 39.05% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.23% ( 0.02) | 75.77% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Rochdale |
1-0 @ 12.35% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 10.21% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.19% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 3% Total : 54.15% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.86% Total : 24.46% | 0-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.44% Total : 21.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 28 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 59 |
2 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 52 |
3 | Notts County | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 50 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 48 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 48 |
6 | Port Vale | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 48 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 47 |
8 | Salford City | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 44 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 42 |
10 | Chesterfield | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 39 |
11 | MK Dons | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 38 |
12 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 38 |
13 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 28 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 33 | 29 | 4 | 37 |
14 | Swindon TownSwindon | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 37 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 36 |
16 | Bromley | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 35 |
17 | Gillingham | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 32 |
18 | BarrowBarrow | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 31 |
19 | Newport CountyNewport | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 30 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 30 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 29 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 46 | -25 | 26 |
23 | Morecambe | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 26 | 44 | -18 | 23 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 22 | 46 | -24 | 21 |
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