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League One | Gameweek 31
Feb 7, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
One Call Stadium
Northampton Town

Mansfield
0 - 1
Northampton


Lewis (28'), Rhodes (49'), Boateng (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
McGeehan (55')
Shaw (81'), Perry (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Mansfield Town and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shrewsbury 2-1 Mansfield
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 3-2 Huddersfield
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: Mansfield Town 2-1 Northampton Town

Mansfield may be experiencing a poor run of form, but they tend to fare well in home meetings with Northampton, and we think that they will make full use of home advantage to get their league campaign back on track with a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 63.15%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 14.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.54%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Mansfield TownDrawNorthampton Town
63.15% (0.012 0.01) 21.99% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 14.87% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 44.95% (0.119 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.42% (0.139 0.14)51.58% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.63% (0.121 0.12)73.38% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.24% (0.051999999999992 0.05)15.76% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.12% (0.094000000000001 0.09)44.89% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.36% (0.11 0.11)46.64% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.79% (0.084 0.08)82.21% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Mansfield Town 63.14%
    Northampton Town 14.87%
    Draw 21.99%
Mansfield TownDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 13.58% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 12.54% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.57% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.89% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.57% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 2.72% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.25% (0.013 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.32% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.01% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 63.14%
1-1 @ 10.36%
0-0 @ 7.35% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.65% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 21.99%
0-1 @ 5.61% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.95% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.01% (0.0059999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 0.93% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 14.87%

How you voted: Mansfield vs Northampton

Mansfield Town
77.5%
Draw
15.0%
Northampton Town
7.5%
40
Head to Head
Sep 28, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 8
Northampton
0-2
Mansfield
Evans (47'), Lewis (89')
Evans (51'), Cargill (58'), Boateng (67')
Mar 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Northampton
1-0
Mansfield
Hoskins (28' pen.)
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
May 18, 2022 7.45pm
May 14, 2022 7.45pm
Mansfield
2-1
Northampton
Oates (13'), Bowery (32')
Maris (50'), Perch (61')
Koiki (61')
McWilliams (22')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham36258359243583
2Wrexham38228852302274
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe372011664362871
4Charlton AthleticCharlton381991049351466
5Stockport CountyStockport381811953351865
6Huddersfield TownHuddersfield371871252341861
7Bolton WanderersBolton37186135955460
8Reading371611105246659
9Leyton Orient371751553381556
10Blackpool381315105750754
11Barnsley38158155254-253
12Lincoln CityLincoln381311145345850
13Stevenage371310143538-349
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham37129164245-345
15Peterborough UnitedPeterborough37129165660-445
16Exeter CityExeter37129164051-1145
17Mansfield TownMansfield37128174351-844
18Wigan AthleticWigan361110153336-343
19Northampton TownNorthampton381012163756-1942
20Bristol Rovers38126203961-2242
21Burton Albion37812173853-1536
22Crawley TownCrawley3889214071-3133
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3879223662-2630
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3777233462-2828


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