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League One | Gameweek 24
Jan 1, 2025 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Stevenage

Northampton
0 - 0
Stevenage


Hondermarck (14'), Dobson (88'), Nolan (15')
FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 3-0 Bristol Rovers
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Northampton Town 0-2 Stevenage

Northampton may be hoping for a fresh start to the new year under new boss Nolan, but it is difficult to see them scoring given Stevenage's defensive solidity. It is also hard to picture anything other than a win for Revell's side given the teams' contrasting form, and the Boro may prove too strong for the hosts to overcome on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 49.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 24.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.43%) and 1-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 1-0 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
Northampton TownDrawStevenage
24.42% (0.055 0.05) 25.66% (0.037000000000003 0.04) 49.92% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 49.29% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.23% (-0.103 -0.1)53.76% (0.098000000000006 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.76% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)75.24% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.84% (-0.0089999999999932 -0.01)37.15% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.05% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)73.94% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.43% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)21.56% (0.081 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.35% (-0.126 -0.13)54.64% (0.121 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 24.42%
    Stevenage 49.91%
    Draw 25.66%
Northampton TownDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 7.93% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 6.02% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.93% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.99% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.53% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.3% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 24.42%
1-1 @ 12.17% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.01% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.62% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 25.66%
0-1 @ 12.29% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 9.43% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.34% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.82% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.77% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.85% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.83% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 49.91%

How you voted: Northampton vs Stevenage

Northampton Town
44.7%
Draw
14.9%
Stevenage
40.4%
47
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Stevenage
2-0
Northampton
Kemp (89'), Reid (90+1')
Piergianni (2'), Revell (3'), White (45'), Thompson (52')
Revell (0')

Eaves (2'), Odimayo (18'), McGeehan (51')
Eaves (28')
Dec 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 24
Stevenage
3-0
Northampton
Reid (2'), Roberts (42'), List (67')

Sowerby (52')
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Northampton
0-1
Stevenage

Odimayo (17'), Hoskins (69')
Piergianni (80')
Piergianni (4'), Evans (5'), Butler (88'), Burns (90+13')
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Stevenage
2-3
Northampton
Rose (35'), Gilbey (85')
Appere (1' pen.), Bowie (82'), McWilliams (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham27196246192763
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport29148744281650
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield28146841261548
6Leyton Orient281351040251544
7Charlton AthleticCharlton2812883628844
8Reading28135104341244
9Bolton WanderersBolton29135114343044
10Barnsley29127104139243
11Stevenage2711792725240
12Lincoln CityLincoln29109103534139
13Blackpool2891184140138
14Mansfield TownMansfield27114123534137
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham28107113333037
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Northampton TownNorthampton2979132845-1730
20Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
21Burton Albion29510143044-1425
22Crawley TownCrawley2766152748-2124
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2865172848-2023
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2857162950-2122


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