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League One | Gameweek 19
Dec 9, 2024 at 8pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Peterborough United

Northampton
2 - 1
Peterborough

McGeehan (28', 84')
FT(HT: 1-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 2-0 Northampton
Tuesday, December 3 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Northampton Town 1-3 Peterborough United

Northampton's injury crisis has had an adverse effect on their recent form, and we think that the Cobblers could experience another disappointing result on Monday, especially as they tend to struggle in meetings with Peterborough, who we believe will do enough to clinch all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 2-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Northampton TownDrawPeterborough United
30.2% (-0.483 -0.48) 23.65% (0.047999999999998 0.05) 46.16% (0.437 0.44)
Both teams to score 60.46% (-0.457 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.77% (-0.48099999999999 -0.48)41.23% (0.481 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.38% (-0.488 -0.49)63.62% (0.489 0.49)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.84% (-0.547 -0.55)26.16% (0.546 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.76% (-0.74 -0.74)61.24% (0.74 0.74)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.88% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)18.11% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.93% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)49.06% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 30.2%
    Peterborough United 46.16%
    Draw 23.64%
Northampton TownDrawPeterborough United
2-1 @ 7.28% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-0 @ 6.36% (0.04 0.04)
2-0 @ 4.26% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.25% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.9% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.09% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 30.2%
1-1 @ 10.85% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 6.22% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-0 @ 4.74% (0.102 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.58% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.64%
1-2 @ 9.27% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-1 @ 8.1% (0.172 0.17)
0-2 @ 6.92% (0.144 0.14)
1-3 @ 5.28% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.94% (0.08 0.08)
2-3 @ 3.54% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.68% (0.033 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.51% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 46.16%

How you voted: Northampton vs Peterborough

Northampton Town
22.0%
Draw
8.0%
Peterborough United
70.0%
50
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Peterborough
5-1
Northampton
Mason-Clark (25'), Poku (28'), Randall (45'), Kyprianou (59'), Knight (64')
Mothersille (75')
Guthrie (9')
Bowie (39')
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Northampton
1-0
Peterborough
Pinnock (90')
Hoskins (90+2')

Collins (17'), Kioso (82')
Apr 16, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 42
Peterborough
3-1
Northampton
Szmodics (33', 48'), Clarke-Harris (67' pen.)
Beevers (42')
Hoskins (43' pen.)
McWilliams (56'), Rose (79'), Jones (90+4')
Oct 10, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 5
Northampton
0-2
Peterborough

Hoskins (51'), Korboa (73'), Watson (85')
Thompson (33'), Brown (80')
Sep 3, 2019 7.30pm
Group Stage
Northampton
0-2
Peterborough

Wharton (29')
Kanu (21'), Dembele (24')
Thompson (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham25176243182557
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe27167452282455
3Wrexham27157539211852
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield26146639221748
5Stockport CountyStockport27128742281444
6Barnsley2712694037342
7Leyton Orient26125934221241
8Reading2612594038241
9Bolton WanderersBolton27125104041-141
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2611783226640
11Lincoln CityLincoln2710893431338
12Mansfield TownMansfield25114103431337
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham2697103030034
14Blackpool2681083738-134
15Stevenage259792022-234
16Wigan AthleticWigan2696112626033
17Exeter CityExeter2795133036-632
18Bristol Rovers2684142541-1628
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2776144352-927
20Northampton TownNorthampton2769122440-1627
21Burton Albion2749142742-1521
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2656152747-2021
23Crawley TownCrawley2556142546-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2655162646-2020


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