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League One
Peterborough United
League One | Gameweek 27
Mar 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Northampton Town

Peterborough
5 - 1
Northampton

Mason-Clark (25'), Poku (28'), Randall (45'), Kyprianou (59'), Knight (64')
Mothersille (75')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Guthrie (9')
Bowie (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Peterborough 2-1 Exeter
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Northampton 1-1 Charlton
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One

We said: Peterborough United 2-1 Northampton Town

 Peterborough are starting to build momentum thanks to a three-game winning run, and we think that they will continue their encouraging spell of form by claiming a narrow victory in Tuesday's home fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 72.81%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 11.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 3-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.41%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 1-2 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawNorthampton Town
72.81% (0.0079999999999956 0.01) 16.06% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 11.12% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 54.08% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)33.86% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.29% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)55.71% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)8.06% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.65% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)28.35% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.82% (0.0020000000000024 0)41.18% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.29% (0.0010000000000012 0)77.71% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 72.81%
    Northampton Town 11.12%
    Draw 16.06%
Peterborough UnitedDrawNorthampton Town
2-0 @ 10.52%
2-1 @ 9.34%
3-0 @ 8.83% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.36% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 7.84% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 5.56% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 4.94%
3-2 @ 3.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-0 @ 2.8% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 2.49% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 2.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-0 @ 1.18%
5-2 @ 1.1%
6-1 @ 1.04% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 72.81%
1-1 @ 7.41% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 4.14% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 3.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 16.06%
1-2 @ 3.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-1 @ 2.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 1.31%
2-3 @ 1.23%
1-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 11.12%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Northampton

Peterborough United
86.2%
Draw
6.9%
Northampton Town
6.9%
29
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Northampton
1-0
Peterborough
Pinnock (90')
Hoskins (90+2')

Collins (17'), Kioso (82')
Apr 16, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 42
Peterborough
3-1
Northampton
Szmodics (33', 48'), Clarke-Harris (67' pen.)
Beevers (42')
Hoskins (43' pen.)
McWilliams (56'), Rose (79'), Jones (90+4')
Oct 10, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 5
Northampton
0-2
Peterborough

Hoskins (51'), Korboa (73'), Watson (85')
Thompson (33'), Brown (80')
Sep 3, 2019 7.30pm
Group Stage
Northampton
0-2
Peterborough

Wharton (29')
Kanu (21'), Dembele (24')
Thompson (63')
Apr 2, 2018 3pm
Peterborough
2-0
Northampton
Baldwin (12'), Marriott (14')
Maddison (47')

Powell (20'), Hoskins (45'), Grimes (71'), Crooks (78'), van Veen (85'), Facey (93')
Taylor (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham19143235161945
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley2054112033-1319
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012
> League One Full Table


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