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League One
Peterborough United
League One | Gameweek 27
Mar 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Northampton Town

Peterborough
5 - 1
Northampton

Mason-Clark (25'), Poku (28'), Randall (45'), Kyprianou (59'), Knight (64')
Mothersille (75')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Guthrie (9')
Bowie (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Peterborough 2-1 Exeter
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Northampton 1-1 Charlton
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One

We said: Peterborough United 2-1 Northampton Town

 Peterborough are starting to build momentum thanks to a three-game winning run, and we think that they will continue their encouraging spell of form by claiming a narrow victory in Tuesday's home fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 72.81%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 11.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 3-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.41%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 1-2 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawNorthampton Town
72.81% (0.0079999999999956 0.01) 16.06% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 11.12% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 54.08% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)33.86% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.29% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)55.71% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)8.06% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.65% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)28.35% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.82% (0.0020000000000024 0)41.18% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.29% (0.0010000000000012 0)77.71% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 72.81%
    Northampton Town 11.12%
    Draw 16.06%
Peterborough UnitedDrawNorthampton Town
2-0 @ 10.52%
2-1 @ 9.34%
3-0 @ 8.83% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.36% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 7.84% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 5.56% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 4.94%
3-2 @ 3.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-0 @ 2.8% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 2.49% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 2.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-0 @ 1.18%
5-2 @ 1.1%
6-1 @ 1.04% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 72.81%
1-1 @ 7.41% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 4.14% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 3.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 16.06%
1-2 @ 3.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-1 @ 2.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 1.31%
2-3 @ 1.23%
1-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 11.12%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Northampton

Peterborough United
86.2%
Draw
6.9%
Northampton Town
6.9%
29
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Northampton
1-0
Peterborough
Pinnock (90')
Hoskins (90+2')

Collins (17'), Kioso (82')
Apr 16, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 42
Peterborough
3-1
Northampton
Szmodics (33', 48'), Clarke-Harris (67' pen.)
Beevers (42')
Hoskins (43' pen.)
McWilliams (56'), Rose (79'), Jones (90+4')
Oct 10, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 5
Northampton
0-2
Peterborough

Hoskins (51'), Korboa (73'), Watson (85')
Thompson (33'), Brown (80')
Sep 3, 2019 7.30pm
Group Stage
Northampton
0-2
Peterborough

Wharton (29')
Kanu (21'), Dembele (24')
Thompson (63')
Apr 2, 2018 3pm
Peterborough
2-0
Northampton
Baldwin (12'), Marriott (14')
Maddison (47')

Powell (20'), Hoskins (45'), Grimes (71'), Crooks (78'), van Veen (85'), Facey (93')
Taylor (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe1392231161529
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport145632017321
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Crawley TownCrawley143291225-1311
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion130581325-125
> League One Full Table


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