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League One
Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 29
Feb 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Northampton Town

Oxford Utd
2 - 2
Northampton

Murphy (6'), Goodwin (81')
Rodrigues (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hondermarck (35'), Springett (90+2')
Hondermarck (74'), Simpson (78'), Pinnock (82'), Hoskins (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Oxford United and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions
Last Game: Wycombe 0-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League One

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Northampton 3-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League One

We said: Oxford United 2-1 Northampton Town

 Oxford have rediscovered their form from earlier in the season under Buckingham, and they always carry a significant threat in attack. Northampton are a more solid outfit and will provide stubborn resistance. However, we expect Oxford's quality to shine through in the end, even if they may have to be patient to find a winner. Doing so would be a big step towards finishing inside the top six, while making a serious dent in their opponents' aspirations of achieving similar. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 60.17%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 18.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawNorthampton Town
60.17% (-0.105 -0.1) 21.78% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 18.05% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
Both teams to score 52.21%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.63% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)45.37% (0.061 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.29% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)67.7% (0.058000000000007 0.06)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.35% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)14.65% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.21% (-0.105 -0.11)42.79% (0.104 0.1)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.17% (0.039999999999999 0.04)38.83% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.44% (0.038 0.04)75.56% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 60.16%
    Northampton Town 18.05%
    Draw 21.78%
Oxford UnitedDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 10.92% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.72% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.36% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.23% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.24% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.17% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 60.16%
1-1 @ 10.33% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.69% (0.015 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.7% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.78%
0-1 @ 5.38% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.89% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.55% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.54% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 18.05%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Northampton

Oxford United
76.7%
Draw
10.0%
Northampton Town
13.3%
30
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Northampton
2-1
Oxford Utd
Bowie (50'), Simpson (90+7')
Brough (66'), Simpson (90+8')
Brannagan (62' pen.)
Brown (90+2')
> Preview
Sep 5, 2023 7pm
Group Stage
Northampton
1-3
Oxford Utd
Simpson (4' pen.)
McWilliams (32'), McGowan (58')
Dyche (76')
Harris (15' pen., 61'), Edwards (48')
Murphy (44')
> Preview
Mar 23, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 24
Northampton
1-0
Oxford Utd
Hoskins (55')
Hoskins (33')
> Preview
Dec 15, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Oxford Utd
4-0
Northampton
Taylor (49', 89'), Shodipo (65'), Agyei (90+3')
Kelly (72'), Taylor (90+6')

Holmes (44')
Oct 9, 2018 7.45pm
Group Stage
Oxford Utd
1-2
Northampton
Henry (24')
Henry (26')
Van Veen (55'), Pierre (65')
Bowditch (26'), Pierre (26'), O'Toole (26'), Facey (29'), van Veen (32')
O'Toole (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton26115103941-238
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2510783126537
11Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
12Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Exeter CityExeter2695122933-432
15Blackpool2571083437-331
16Stevenage248791922-331
17Wigan AthleticWigan2586112426-230
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2676134247-527
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Burton Albion2639142340-1718
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118
> League One Full Table


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