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Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 31
Feb 3, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Reading logo

Oxford Utd
1 - 1
Reading

Harris (32')
Goodrham (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Brown (76' og.)
Craig (24'), Yiadom (63'), Azeez (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Oxford United and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Oxford United 0-1 Reading

Oxford United will be the favourites walking into this weekend due to the league positions of each club, but recent form tells a different story. Reading have been grinding out results against some of League One's strongest teams lately, and Saturday could provide another upset. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 46.51%. A win for Reading had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawReading
46.51% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14) 23.96% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 29.53% (0.113 0.11)
Both teams to score 58.92% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.93% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)43.07% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.53% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)65.47% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.3% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)18.7% (0.065000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.94% (-0.11 -0.11)50.06% (0.108 0.11)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.47% (0.064000000000007 0.06)27.52% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.96% (0.082000000000001 0.08)63.03% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 46.51%
    Reading 29.53%
    Draw 23.96%
Oxford UnitedDrawReading
2-1 @ 9.33% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.63% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.23% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.22% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.04% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.36% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.19% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.69% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 46.51%
1-1 @ 11.13% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.02% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-0 @ 5.15% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.45% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.96%
1-2 @ 7.18% (0.019 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.64% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.28% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.09% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.59% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.84% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 29.53%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Reading

Oxford United
66.7%
Draw
11.1%
Reading
22.2%
18
Head to Head
Dec 12, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 13
Reading
1-1
Oxford Utd
Smith (43')
Craig (19'), Holmes (51')
Brown (39')
Thorniley (37')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham25156437181951
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2311483534137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Stevenage238781820-231
14Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
15Blackpool247983235-330
16Rotherham UnitedRotherham237792123-228
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2445152444-2017
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814


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