EFL Trophy | Third Round
Jan 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Kingsmeadow
AFC Wimbledon2 - 0Oxford Utd
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-3 Ipswich
Saturday, January 6 at 12.30pm in FA Cup
Saturday, January 6 at 12.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Coventry 6-2 Oxford Utd
Saturday, January 6 at 12.30pm in FA Cup
Saturday, January 6 at 12.30pm in FA Cup
We said: AFC Wimbledon 1-2 Oxford United
Oxford may have won just one of their last five away games, but they have managed to beat Northampton Town and Forest Green on their travels in the EFL Trophy this season. With that in mind, we think that the U's will continue their away-day success in the competition by claiming a narrow win in Tuesday's contest. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 44.71%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.41%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Oxford United |
| 44.71% | 23.38% | 31.9% |
| Both teams to score 62.34% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
