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FA Cup
AFC Wimbledon
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 6, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Ipswich logo

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 3
Ipswich

Reeves (17' pen.)
Pell (26')
Pell (59')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Davison (8' og.), Tuanzebe (40'), Taylor (90')
Harness (33'), Edmundson (55'), Tuanzebe (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between AFC Wimbledon and Ipswich Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Forest Green 1-1 AFC Wimbledon
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two

Ipswich Town

All competitions
Last Game: Stoke 0-0 Ipswich
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: AFC Wimbledon 1-2 Ipswich Town

 This has the potential to be a very tricky match for Ipswich, especially as the Championship outfit are unlikely to have a full-strength side on the field. The Blues are struggling to win games at the moment, but we are backing them to navigate their way past AFC Wimbledon to advance to the fourth round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for Ipswich Town had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Ipswich Town win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawIpswich Town
40.22% (-0.1 -0.1) 25.02% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 34.75% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Both teams to score 57.4% (-0.111 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.99% (-0.148 -0.15)46% (0.148 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.69% (-0.141 -0.14)68.31% (0.13900000000001 0.14)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.25% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)22.75% (0.114 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.57% (-0.17 -0.17)56.43% (0.17 0.17)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.31% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)25.69% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.4% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)60.6% (0.041999999999994 0.04)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 40.23%
    Ipswich Town 34.75%
    Draw 25.02%
AFC WimbledonDrawIpswich Town
2-1 @ 8.71% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.65% (0.025 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.3% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.16% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.59% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 40.23%
1-1 @ 11.76% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.92% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.84% (0.036 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.02%
1-2 @ 7.99% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.94% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.4% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.62% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.68% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.45% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.23% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 34.75%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Ipswich

AFC Wimbledon
20.0%
Draw
16.0%
Ipswich Town
64.0%
25
Head to Head
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
AFC Wimbledon
0-2
Ipswich

McCormick (54')
Burns (61', 86')
Edmundson (47'), Vincent-Young (86')
Vincent-Young (90+5')
> Preview
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 5
Ipswich
2-2
AFC Wimbledon
Pigott (52' pen.), Burns (54')
Hladky (79')
Heneghan (58'), Rudoni (90+5')
Woodyard (16'), Hartigan (45'), Nightingale (52')
Apr 24, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 44
Ipswich
0-0
AFC Wimbledon
Edwards (44')
Apr 13, 2021 6.30pm
Gameweek 21
AFC Wimbledon
3-0
Ipswich
Nightingale (21'), Rudoni (25'), Longman (86')
Rudoni (45+1')

Judge (58')
Harrop (28')
Feb 11, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
AFC Wimbledon
0-0
Ipswich
Reilly (39')
Downes (69')
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