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Championship | Gameweek 22
Dec 16, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Norwich logo

Ipswich
2 - 2
Norwich

Broadhead (34'), Burns (60')
Burns (77'), Woolfenden (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Rowe (40', 49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Ipswich Town and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 1-2 Ipswich
Tuesday, December 12 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 3-1 Sheff Weds
Wednesday, December 13 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Ipswich Town 2-1 Norwich City

Saturday afternoon will provide Ipswich with their best opportunity to beat Norwich since that glorious day in 2009, although we cannot envisage the East Anglian derby being light work for the Tractor Boys despite their lofty league position. The Canaries might have to swallow their pride and try to grind out a result on the weekend, but regardless, we expect that their long-standing unbeaten spell in this fixture will come to an end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 54.85%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 23.51% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 1-2 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawNorwich City
54.85% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03) 21.63% (0.019000000000002 0.02) 23.51% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Both teams to score 61.44% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.77% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)37.22% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.57% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)59.43% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.39% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)13.6% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.26% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)40.73% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.12% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)28.88% (0.043000000000003 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.25% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)64.75% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 54.85%
    Norwich City 23.51%
    Draw 21.63%
Ipswich TownDrawNorwich City
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 7.84% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.82% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.46% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.2%
3-2 @ 4.01% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.22% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 2% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.29% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 54.85%
1-1 @ 9.73% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.03% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 3.93% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.66% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 21.63%
1-2 @ 6.04% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-1 @ 4.88% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.03% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.5% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.5% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.25% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 23.51%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Norwich

Ipswich Town
74.5%
Draw
3.6%
Norwich City
21.8%
55
Head to Head
Feb 10, 2019 12pm
Gameweek 31
Norwich
3-0
Ipswich
Hernandez (2'), Pukki (65', 80')
Lewis (60'), Trybull (76'), Stiepermann (79'), Cantwell (90')

Skuse (32'), Nolan (45'), Downes (90')
Sep 2, 2018 12pm
Gameweek 6
Ipswich
1-1
Norwich
Edwards (57')
Chambers (26'), Graham (42')
Leitner (71')
Godfrey (49')
Feb 18, 2018 12pm
Norwich
1-1
Ipswich
Klose (90')
Leitner (58')
Chambers (89')
Garner (55'), Skuse (65'), Connolly (67'), Waghorn (80'), Spence (82')
Oct 22, 2017 12pm
Feb 26, 2017 12pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
2Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
3Sunderland28159440221854
4Burnley27141123192253
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
10Bristol City2791083331237
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
12Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
20Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
21Hull City2868142738-1126
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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