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Championship | Gameweek 22
Dec 16, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Norwich logo

Ipswich
2 - 2
Norwich

Broadhead (34'), Burns (60')
Burns (77'), Woolfenden (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Rowe (40', 49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Ipswich Town and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 1-2 Ipswich
Tuesday, December 12 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 3-1 Sheff Weds
Wednesday, December 13 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Ipswich Town 2-1 Norwich City

Saturday afternoon will provide Ipswich with their best opportunity to beat Norwich since that glorious day in 2009, although we cannot envisage the East Anglian derby being light work for the Tractor Boys despite their lofty league position. The Canaries might have to swallow their pride and try to grind out a result on the weekend, but regardless, we expect that their long-standing unbeaten spell in this fixture will come to an end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 54.85%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 23.51% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 1-2 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawNorwich City
54.85% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03) 21.63% (0.019000000000002 0.02) 23.51% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Both teams to score 61.44% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.77% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)37.22% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.57% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)59.43% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.39% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)13.6% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.26% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)40.73% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.12% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)28.88% (0.043000000000003 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.25% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)64.75% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 54.85%
    Norwich City 23.51%
    Draw 21.63%
Ipswich TownDrawNorwich City
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 7.84% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.82% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.46% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.2%
3-2 @ 4.01% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.22% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 2% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.29% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 54.85%
1-1 @ 9.73% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.03% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 3.93% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.66% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 21.63%
1-2 @ 6.04% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-1 @ 4.88% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.03% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.5% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.5% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.25% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 23.51%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Norwich

Ipswich Town
74.5%
Draw
3.6%
Norwich City
21.8%
55
Head to Head
Feb 10, 2019 12pm
Gameweek 31
Norwich
3-0
Ipswich
Hernandez (2'), Pukki (65', 80')
Lewis (60'), Trybull (76'), Stiepermann (79'), Cantwell (90')

Skuse (32'), Nolan (45'), Downes (90')
Sep 2, 2018 12pm
Gameweek 6
Ipswich
1-1
Norwich
Edwards (57')
Chambers (26'), Graham (42')
Leitner (71')
Godfrey (49')
Feb 18, 2018 12pm
Norwich
1-1
Ipswich
Klose (90')
Leitner (58')
Chambers (89')
Garner (55'), Skuse (65'), Connolly (67'), Waghorn (80'), Spence (82')
Oct 22, 2017 12pm
Feb 26, 2017 12pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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