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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cardiff City | Draw | Norwich City |
42.09% ( 1.38) | 26.54% ( 0.45) | 31.37% ( -1.83) |
Both teams to score 51.36% ( -2.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.65% ( -2.36) | 53.35% ( 2.36) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.11% ( -2.03) | 74.89% ( 2.03) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.93% ( -0.35) | 25.07% ( 0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.25% ( -0.49) | 59.75% ( 0.49) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.54% ( -2.4) | 31.45% ( 2.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.16% ( -2.88) | 67.83% ( 2.88) |
Score Analysis |
Cardiff City | Draw | Norwich City |
1-0 @ 10.9% ( 0.87) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.53) 3-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.47% Total : 42.08% | 1-1 @ 12.61% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.7) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.31) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.54% | 0-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.37) 0-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.35) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.23) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.26) Other @ 2.88% Total : 31.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 22 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 35 |
8 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Bristol City | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
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