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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 35.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Middlesbrough in this match.
Result | ||
Norwich City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
35.56% ( 0.23) | 24.94% ( 0.02) | 39.49% ( -0.26) |
Both teams to score 57.82% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.47% ( -0.1) | 45.52% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.15% ( -0.09) | 67.85% ( 0.09) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75% ( 0.08) | 24.99% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.34% ( 0.12) | 59.65% ( -0.12) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.09% ( -0.17) | 22.9% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.34% ( -0.25) | 56.66% ( 0.24) |
Score Analysis |
Norwich City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
2-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.54% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 35.56% | 1-1 @ 11.69% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.94% | 1-2 @ 8.62% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.24% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.22% Total : 39.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 58 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 51 | 19 | 32 | 56 |
3 | Sunderland | 28 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 40 | 22 | 18 | 54 |
4 | Burnley | 27 | 14 | 11 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 53 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 44 |
6 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 42 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 28 | 9 | 14 | 5 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 41 |
8 | Watford | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 41 |
9 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 38 |
10 | Bristol City | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 37 |
11 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 36 |
13 | Coventry CityCoventry | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 35 |
14 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 35 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 34 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 28 | 7 | 13 | 8 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 34 |
17 | Millwall | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 31 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 28 |
19 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 28 |
20 | Derby CountyDerby | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 27 |
21 | Hull City | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 26 |
22 | Portsmouth | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 26 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 25 | 55 | -30 | 21 |
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