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Championship | Gameweek 13
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Carrow Road
Middlesbrough logo

Norwich
1 - 2
Middlesbrough

Rowe (90+9')
Sara (76'), Rowe (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Greenwood (46'), Silvera (90+2')
Hackney (89'), Dieng (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 2-3 Leeds
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 1-2 Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough are flying at the moment, and they will be aiming to record a third straight win over Norwich in Tuesday's contest. Boro won 2-1 at Carrow Road in the corresponding match last season, and we can see the same scoreline occurring in this game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 35.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Middlesbrough in this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawMiddlesbrough
35.56% (0.226 0.23) 24.94% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 39.49% (-0.259 -0.26)
Both teams to score 57.82% (-0.064 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.47% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)45.52% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.15% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)67.85% (0.085000000000008 0.09)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75% (0.081999999999994 0.08)24.99% (-0.09 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.34% (0.116 0.12)59.65% (-0.124 -0.12)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.09% (-0.17400000000001 -0.17)22.9% (0.167 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.34% (-0.253 -0.25)56.66% (0.245 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 35.56%
    Middlesbrough 39.49%
    Draw 24.94%
Norwich CityDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 8.11% (0.032 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.94% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 5.5% (0.049 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.75% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.76% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.54% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.3% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 35.56%
1-1 @ 11.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.98% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.72% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.94%
1-2 @ 8.62% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
0-1 @ 8.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.22% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.24% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.06% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.94% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.56% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.13% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.08% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 39.49%

How you voted: Norwich vs Middlesbrough

Norwich City
32.0%
Draw
12.0%
Middlesbrough
56.0%
50
Head to Head
Apr 14, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 42
Middlesbrough
5-1
Norwich
Ramsey (7'), Hackney (41'), Archer (43', 45+6'), Akpom (49')
Sargent (45')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 21
Norwich
1-2
Middlesbrough
Sargent (7')
McGree (64'), Crooks (90+2')
Jan 30, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 27
Norwich
0-0
Middlesbrough
Buendia (41')
Buendia (67')
Saville (73'), Howson (90')
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 12
Middlesbrough
0-1
Norwich
Pukki (72' pen.)
Sorensen (15')
Mar 30, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 39
Middlesbrough
0-1
Norwich

Ayala (33'), Obi Mikel (49'), Downing (66')
Hernandez (54')
Stiepermann (42'), Zimmermann (48'), Hernandez (54'), Trybull (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
2Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
3Sunderland28159440221854
4Burnley27141123192253
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
10Bristol City2791083331237
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
12Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
20Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
21Hull City2868142738-1126
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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