MX23RW : Wednesday, January 29 16:19:49| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship | Gameweek 9
Sep 30, 2023 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Birmingham logo

Norwich
2 - 0
Birmingham

Sara (55'), Rowe (60')
Sara (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Long (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fulham 2-1 Norwich
Wednesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

We said: Norwich City 1-1 Birmingham City

Norwich produced a promising performance at Craven Cottage despite bowing out of the EFL Cup, but the Canaries will still need to start brightly on Saturday to erase memories of their capitulation against Plymouth last weekend. Birmingham face three matches in the space of seven days as they battle with an ongoing injury crisis, although with a week's break under their belts, Eustace's men should be able to collect a point on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 49.59%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 24.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (8.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawBirmingham City
49.59% (-0.011999999999993 -0.01) 25.97% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 24.44%
Both teams to score 48.41% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.07% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)54.93% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.79% (-0.034000000000002 -0.03)76.21% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.81% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)22.19% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.4% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)55.59% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.21% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)37.79% (0.020999999999994 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.44% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)74.56% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 49.59%
    Birmingham City 24.44%
    Draw 25.97%
Norwich CityDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 12.62% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 9.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.77% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.64% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.8% (-0.002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 49.59%
1-1 @ 12.28%
0-0 @ 8.38% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 25.97%
0-1 @ 8.16% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.98% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 3.97% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 1.94% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.46% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 24.44%

How you voted: Norwich vs Birmingham

Norwich City
63.6%
Draw
22.7%
Birmingham City
13.6%
22
Head to Head
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Norwich
3-1
Birmingham
Nunez (27', 36'), Tzolis (90+4')
Colin (53')
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Birmingham
1-2
Norwich
Hogan (50')
Omobamidele (63'), Hernandez (90+3')
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
Norwich
2-2
Birmingham
Norwich win 4-2 on penalties
Sinani (45+1'), Sorensen (45+3')
Hugill (19')
Leko (53'), Tomkinson (79' og.)
Jutkiewicz (11'), Colin (71')
Feb 23, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 32
Birmingham
1-3
Norwich
Sanchez (39')
Hogan (68'), Clarke-Salter (84')
Pukki (26', 76'), Skipp (90+5')
Zimmermann (19'), Vrancic (62')
Oct 20, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Norwich
1-0
Birmingham
Vrancic (87')
Idah (89')

Clayton (50'), Dean (54'), Friend (88'), Sunjic (90')
Clayton (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds29179353193460
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley29151223692757
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Millwall29910102826237
15Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2978143652-1629
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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