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Championship | Gameweek 6
Sep 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Stoke logo

Norwich
1 - 0
Stoke

Stacey (44')
Giannoulis (43'), Fassnacht (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Leris (20'), Pearson (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 2-1 Norwich
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-2 Preston
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 2-0 Stoke City

Although both teams suffered defeat immediately before the international break, Norwich have look by far the superior side in recent games. With that in mind, we can only predict a home win for the Canaries, heaping the pressure on Neil in the opposite dugout. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Norwich City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Norwich City.

Result
Norwich CityDrawStoke City
41.1% (0.175 0.17) 26.59% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 32.3% (-0.129 -0.13)
Both teams to score 51.54% (0.089999999999996 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.72% (0.135 0.13)53.28% (-0.134 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.17% (0.117 0.12)74.83% (-0.11399999999999 -0.11)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.45% (0.15299999999999 0.15)25.55% (-0.151 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.59% (0.21 0.21)60.41% (-0.208 -0.21)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.22% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)30.78% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.95% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)67.05% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 41.1%
    Stoke City 32.3%
    Draw 26.59%
Norwich CityDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 10.73% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.63% (0.025 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.32% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.93% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.33% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.31% (0.015 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.34% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.14% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 41.1%
1-1 @ 12.64% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.86% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.08% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.59%
0-1 @ 9.27% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-2 @ 7.45% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.46% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.93% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.14% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 32.3%

How you voted: Norwich vs Stoke

Norwich City
60.5%
Draw
15.8%
Stoke City
23.7%
38
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Norwich
3-1
Stoke
Ramsey (38', 71'), Sara (77')
Powell (90+2')
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 29
Norwich
4-1
Stoke
Cantwell (15'), Pukki (44', 80' pen.), Buendia (64')
Powell (61')
Powell (42'), Obi Mikel (43')
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 13
Stoke
2-3
Norwich
Campbell (70'), Collins (79')
Batth (18'), Fletcher (28')
Buendia (18'), Pukki (27', 57')
Stiepermann (23'), Hanley (58'), Buendia (64')
Buendia (69')
Apr 22, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 44
Stoke
2-2
Norwich
Williams (47'), Edwards (69')
Hernandez (24'), Pukki (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley27141123192253
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2612683123842
6Middlesbrough26118743321141
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Portsmouth2558123044-1423
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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