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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Norwich City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Norwich City.
Result | ||
Norwich City | Draw | Stoke City |
41.1% ( 0.17) | 26.59% ( -0.04) | 32.3% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 51.54% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.72% ( 0.13) | 53.28% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.17% ( 0.12) | 74.83% ( -0.11) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.45% ( 0.15) | 25.55% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.59% ( 0.21) | 60.41% ( -0.21) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.22% ( -0.02) | 30.78% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.95% ( -0.02) | 67.05% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Norwich City | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 10.73% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.38% Total : 41.1% | 1-1 @ 12.64% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.59% | 0-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.45% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2% ( 0) Other @ 3.06% Total : 32.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 53 |
2 | Burnley | 27 | 14 | 11 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 53 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 52 |
4 | Sunderland | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 51 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 42 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 41 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 40 |
8 | Watford | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 38 |
9 | Bristol City | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 36 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 34 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 32 |
14 | Millwall | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 30 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 29 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 29 |
18 | Derby CountyDerby | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 27 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 27 |
20 | Luton TownLuton | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 25 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 24 |
22 | Hull City | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 23 |
23 | Portsmouth | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 23 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 25 | 54 | -29 | 21 |
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