Championship | Gameweek 5
Sep 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
We said: Stoke City 2-1 Preston North End
Stoke City have been inconsistent overall so far this season, but they have enjoyed four successes in a row at the bet365 Stadium across all competitions, scoring 13 goals in the process.
Preston are unbeaten in the second tier up to this point, although we believe that Lowe's men will suffer their first defeat of the campaign in Staffordshire on Saturday afternoon.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 46.1% . A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 26.65% .
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9%) and 2-1 (8.81%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%) , while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (9.25%) . The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood .
Result Stoke City Draw Preston North End 46.1% ( 0.12) 27.24% ( -0.05) 26.65% ( -0.07)
Both teams to score 46.72% ( 0.09)
41.95% ( 0.14) 58.05% ( -0.14)
21.27% ( 0.11) 78.73% ( -0.11)
74.84% ( 0.12) 25.16% ( -0.12)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 40.12% ( 0.16) 59.88% ( -0.17)
62.43% ( 0.02) 37.57% ( -0.02)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 25.65% ( 0.02) 74.35% ( -0.02)
Stoke City 46.1%
Preston North End 26.65%
Draw 27.24%
Stoke City Draw Preston North End 1-0 @ 13.04% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.05% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 46.1% 1-1 @ 12.77% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.24% 0-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.25% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.04% 0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0) Other @ 1.69% Total : 26.65%
How you voted: Stoke vs Preston
Stoke City
Draw
Preston North End
30
rhs 2.0
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