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Championship | Gameweek 5
Sep 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Preston North End logo

Stoke
0 - 2
Preston


Pearson (1'), Stevens (63'), Laurent (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Keane (51' pen., 57')
Lindsay (24'), Frokjaer-Jensen (45+1'), Holmes (63'), Browne (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Stoke City 2-1 Preston North End

Stoke City have been inconsistent overall so far this season, but they have enjoyed four successes in a row at the bet365 Stadium across all competitions, scoring 13 goals in the process. Preston are unbeaten in the second tier up to this point, although we believe that Lowe's men will suffer their first defeat of the campaign in Staffordshire on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 46.1%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 26.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawPreston North End
46.1% (0.117 0.12) 27.24% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05) 26.65% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
Both teams to score 46.72% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.95% (0.14 0.14)58.05% (-0.143 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.27% (0.11 0.11)78.73% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.84% (0.11999999999999 0.12)25.16% (-0.124 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.12% (0.165 0.16)59.88% (-0.16699999999999 -0.17)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.43% (0.018999999999998 0.02)37.57% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.65% (0.018999999999998 0.02)74.35% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 46.1%
    Preston North End 26.65%
    Draw 27.24%
Stoke CityDrawPreston North End
1-0 @ 13.04% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.81% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.14% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.05% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.98% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.43% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.4% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 46.1%
1-1 @ 12.77% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.45% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.31% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.24%
0-1 @ 9.25% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.25% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 4.53% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.04%
0-3 @ 1.48% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.41% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 26.65%

How you voted: Stoke vs Preston

Stoke City
60.0%
Draw
16.7%
Preston North End
23.3%
30
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 26
Stoke
0-1
Preston
Evans (90+3')
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Preston
0-2
Stoke
Smallbone (58'), Campbell (66')
Jan 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 26
Stoke
1-2
Preston
Wilmot (46')
Allen (64'), Doughty (79'), Ince (90+4')
Potts (59'), Hughes (81')
Hughes (49'), Ledson (90+1')
Sep 28, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Preston
1-1
Stoke
Whiteman (38')
Cunningham (31'), Riis Jakobsen (88')
Powell (6')
Skiri Oestigaard (25'), Wilmot (83'), Tymon (90'), Clucas (90+2')
Apr 17, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 42
Stoke
0-0
Preston
Chester (53'), Clucas (67')
Souttar (87')
Ledson (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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