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Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Deepdale
Swansea logo

Preston
2 - 1
Swansea

Hughes (67'), Holmes (79')
Ledson (11'), Browne (48')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ashby (33')
N (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Preston North End 1-2 Swansea City

By all accounts, Preston have to be favourites for this contest, particularly when Piroe could be on the move. Nevertheless, we feel that Swansea may get off the mark in the wins column this weekend, albeit in a closely-fought encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Preston North EndDrawSwansea City
32.43% (0.196 0.2) 26.01% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 41.56% (-0.159 -0.16)
Both teams to score 53.44% (0.188 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.14% (0.212 0.21)50.86% (-0.213 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.26% (0.188 0.19)72.74% (-0.18600000000001 -0.19)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.52% (0.235 0.23)29.48% (-0.234 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.51% (0.28700000000001 0.29)65.49% (-0.286 -0.29)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.77% (0.013000000000005 0.01)24.22% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.43% (0.021000000000001 0.02)58.57% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Preston North End 32.43%
    Swansea City 41.55%
    Draw 26.01%
Preston North EndDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 8.72% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.55% (0.037 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.33% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.08% (0.035 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.18% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.17% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 0.94% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 32.43%
1-1 @ 12.36% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.14% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.01%
0-1 @ 10.12% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 8.77% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.18% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 3.39% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.53% (0.015 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.47%
0-4 @ 1.2% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 41.55%

How you voted: Preston vs Swansea

Preston North End
0.0%
Draw
50.0%
Swansea City
50.0%
10
Head to Head
Apr 19, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 43
Swansea
4-2
Preston
Piroe (2', 90+4'), Allen (35'), Darling (44')
Cannon (48'), Parrott (71')
Nov 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Preston
1-0
Swansea
Potts (30')
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 28
Swansea
1-0
Preston
Manning (51')
Manning (13'), Latibeaudiere (87'), Smith (88')

Cunningham (65'), Evans (87'), Bauer (90+1')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 5
Preston
3-1
Swansea
Van den Berg (21'), Riis Jakobsen (45+1'), Whiteman (52')
Ledson (59'), Johnson (61'), Whiteman (71'), Sinclair (85')
Piroe (19')
Benda (51')
Apr 5, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 40
Swansea
0-1
Preston

Guehi (45'), Lowe (64')
Grimes (90+1' og.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley27141123192253
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2612683123842
6Middlesbrough26118743321141
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Portsmouth2558123044-1423
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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