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Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Swansea logo

Norwich
0 - 3
Swansea


Gibbs (81')
McCallum (42')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Latibeaudiere (23'), Cullen (39'), Ntcham (64')
Grimes (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 1-1 Norwich
Wednesday, April 19 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 4-2 Preston
Wednesday, April 19 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 2-2 Swansea City

Both teams know that victory is realistically the only option on Saturday, and that should lead to a thrilling spectacle. While Norwich may hold the lead at some point, Swansea are playing with a renewed belief that could result in them earning a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 32.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Norwich CityDrawSwansea City
41.47% (0.055999999999997 0.06) 26.16%32.37% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 52.95% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.52% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)51.48% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.72% (-0.012 -0.01)73.28% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.46% (0.024000000000001 0.02)24.54% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.98% (0.032000000000004 0.03)59.02% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.18% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)29.83% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.09% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)65.91% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 41.47%
    Swansea City 32.37%
    Draw 26.16%
Norwich CityDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 10.28% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.22% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.09% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.38% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.48%
4-1 @ 1.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.19% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 41.47%
1-1 @ 12.44%
0-0 @ 7.32% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.16%
0-1 @ 8.86% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.53% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.04% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.16% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 32.37%

How you voted: Norwich vs Swansea

Norwich City
48.5%
Draw
12.1%
Swansea City
39.4%
33
Head to Head
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
gameweek 22
Swansea
0-1
Norwich
Pukki (1')
Gibson (9')
Feb 5, 2021 8.15pm
gameweek 28
Swansea
2-0
Norwich
Ayew (42'), Hourihane (48')
Bennett (65'), Guehi (69'), Woodman (84')

Idah (67'), Vrancic (78')
Nov 7, 2020 3pm
gameweek 11
Norwich
1-0
Swansea
Stiepermann (84')
Aarons (88')

Guehi (17'), Naughton (36'), Bennett (38'), Fulton (55'), Roberts (90+3')
Mar 8, 2019 7.45pm
gameweek 36
Norwich
1-0
Swansea
Buendia (54')
Buendia (80')
Nov 24, 2018 3pm
gameweek 18
Swansea
1-4
Norwich
James (41')
Van der Hoorn (16' og.), Buendia (24'), Stiepermann (37'), Pukki (60')
Aarons (56'), Lewis (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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