MX23RW : Saturday, February 1 10:23:55| >> :300:86500:86500:
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Burnley logo
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Leeds logo
Luton Town
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Norwich logo
Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Swansea logo

Norwich
0 - 3
Swansea


Gibbs (81')
McCallum (42')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Latibeaudiere (23'), Cullen (39'), Ntcham (64')
Grimes (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 1-1 Norwich
Wednesday, April 19 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 4-2 Preston
Wednesday, April 19 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 2-2 Swansea City

Both teams know that victory is realistically the only option on Saturday, and that should lead to a thrilling spectacle. While Norwich may hold the lead at some point, Swansea are playing with a renewed belief that could result in them earning a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 32.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Norwich CityDrawSwansea City
41.47% (0.055999999999997 0.06) 26.16%32.37% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 52.95% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.52% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)51.48% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.72% (-0.012 -0.01)73.28% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.46% (0.024000000000001 0.02)24.54% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.98% (0.032000000000004 0.03)59.02% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.18% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)29.83% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.09% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)65.91% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 41.47%
    Swansea City 32.37%
    Draw 26.16%
Norwich CityDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 10.28% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.22% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.09% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.38% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.48%
4-1 @ 1.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.19% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 41.47%
1-1 @ 12.44%
0-0 @ 7.32% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.16%
0-1 @ 8.86% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.53% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.04% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.16% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 32.37%

How you voted: Norwich vs Swansea

Norwich City
48.5%
Draw
12.1%
Swansea City
39.4%
33
Head to Head
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
gameweek 22
Swansea
0-1
Norwich
Pukki (1')
Gibson (9')
Feb 5, 2021 8.15pm
gameweek 28
Swansea
2-0
Norwich
Ayew (42'), Hourihane (48')
Bennett (65'), Guehi (69'), Woodman (84')

Idah (67'), Vrancic (78')
Nov 7, 2020 3pm
gameweek 11
Norwich
1-0
Swansea
Stiepermann (84')
Aarons (88')

Guehi (17'), Naughton (36'), Bennett (38'), Fulton (55'), Roberts (90+3')
Mar 8, 2019 7.45pm
gameweek 36
Norwich
1-0
Swansea
Buendia (54')
Buendia (80')
Nov 24, 2018 3pm
gameweek 18
Swansea
1-4
Norwich
James (41')
Van der Hoorn (16' og.), Buendia (24'), Stiepermann (37'), Pukki (60')
Aarons (56'), Lewis (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds29179353193460
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley29151223692757
4Sunderland291510442241855
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn30136113429545
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
7Middlesbrough29128947361144
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Millwall29910102826237
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2978143652-1629
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!