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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 28.96% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.
Result | ||
Wigan Athletic | Draw | Swansea City |
28.96% ( 0.56) | 26.99% ( 0.03) | 44.05% ( -0.59) |
Both teams to score 48.88% ( 0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44% ( 0.14) | 55.99% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.91% ( 0.11) | 77.08% ( -0.11) |
Wigan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.4% ( 0.51) | 34.59% ( -0.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.68% ( 0.54) | 71.31% ( -0.54) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.74% ( -0.23) | 25.25% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.99% ( -0.32) | 60.01% ( 0.33) |
Score Analysis |
Wigan Athletic | Draw | Swansea City |
1-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 6.77% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.2% Total : 28.96% | 1-1 @ 12.76% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.74% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.99% | 0-1 @ 12.02% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 8.78% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 8.27% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 4.03% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.32% Total : 44.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 58 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 51 | 19 | 32 | 56 |
3 | Sunderland | 28 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 40 | 22 | 18 | 54 |
4 | Burnley | 27 | 14 | 11 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 53 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 44 |
6 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 42 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 28 | 9 | 14 | 5 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 41 |
8 | Watford | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 41 |
9 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 38 |
10 | Bristol City | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 37 |
11 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 36 |
13 | Coventry CityCoventry | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 35 |
14 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 35 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 34 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 28 | 7 | 13 | 8 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 34 |
17 | Millwall | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 31 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 28 |
19 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 28 |
20 | Derby CountyDerby | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 27 |
21 | Hull City | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 26 |
22 | Portsmouth | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 26 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 25 | 55 | -30 | 21 |
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