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Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Turf Moor
Wigan logo

Burnley
3 - 0
Wigan

Tella (14', 47'), Foster (76')
Roberts (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Rekik (9'), Lang (45'), Darikwa (50'), McClean (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Burnley and Wigan Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackpool 0-0 Burnley
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 1-0 Wigan
Tuesday, March 7 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 2-0 Wigan Athletic

With Wigan having tightened things up at the back under Maloney, they will have the mindset that they can earn a surprise result at Turf Moor. Nevertheless, no team is yet to beat Burnley as the away side this campaign, and we do not expect that to start at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 70.12%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 11.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a Wigan Athletic win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawWigan Athletic
70.12% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03) 18.45% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 11.43% (0.02 0.02)
Both teams to score 46.32% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.55% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)44.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.18% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)66.82%
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.53% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)11.47% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.69% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)36.3% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.32% (0.032000000000004 0.03)47.68% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17% (0.023 0.02)82.99% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 70.12%
    Wigan Athletic 11.43%
    Draw 18.45%
BurnleyDrawWigan Athletic
2-0 @ 12.82%
1-0 @ 11.84%
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 9.26% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.86%
4-0 @ 5.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.71% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.54% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-0 @ 2.17% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.61% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 70.12%
1-1 @ 8.77% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 5.47%
2-2 @ 3.52% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 18.45%
0-1 @ 4.05% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 3.25% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.5% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 11.43%

How you voted: Burnley vs Wigan

Burnley
87.9%
Draw
3.0%
Wigan Athletic
9.1%
66
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Wigan
1-5
Burnley
Keane (43' pen.)
Tilt (2')
Rodriguez (17'), Brownhill (27', 86'), Tella (51'), Bastien (88')
Muric (41')
Jul 27, 2019 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Wigan
2-2
Burnley
Pilkington (28'), Gelhardt (67')
Rodriguez (5'), McNeil (11')
Mar 20, 2010 3pm
Wigan
1-0
Burnley
Rodallega (90')
Bramble (68')

McDonald (76'), Duff (80'), Mears (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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