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Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Turf Moor
Wigan logo

Burnley
3 - 0
Wigan

Tella (14', 47'), Foster (76')
Roberts (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Rekik (9'), Lang (45'), Darikwa (50'), McClean (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Burnley and Wigan Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackpool 0-0 Burnley
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 1-0 Wigan
Tuesday, March 7 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 2-0 Wigan Athletic

With Wigan having tightened things up at the back under Maloney, they will have the mindset that they can earn a surprise result at Turf Moor. Nevertheless, no team is yet to beat Burnley as the away side this campaign, and we do not expect that to start at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 70.12%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 11.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a Wigan Athletic win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawWigan Athletic
70.12% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03) 18.45% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 11.43% (0.02 0.02)
Both teams to score 46.32% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.55% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)44.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.18% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)66.82%
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.53% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)11.47% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.69% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)36.3% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.32% (0.032000000000004 0.03)47.68% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17% (0.023 0.02)82.99% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 70.12%
    Wigan Athletic 11.43%
    Draw 18.45%
BurnleyDrawWigan Athletic
2-0 @ 12.82%
1-0 @ 11.84%
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 9.26% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.86%
4-0 @ 5.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.71% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.54% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-0 @ 2.17% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.61% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 70.12%
1-1 @ 8.77% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 5.47%
2-2 @ 3.52% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 18.45%
0-1 @ 4.05% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 3.25% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.5% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 11.43%

How you voted: Burnley vs Wigan

Burnley
87.9%
Draw
3.0%
Wigan Athletic
9.1%
66
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Wigan
1-5
Burnley
Keane (43' pen.)
Tilt (2')
Rodriguez (17'), Brownhill (27', 86'), Tella (51'), Bastien (88')
Muric (41')
Jul 27, 2019 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Wigan
2-2
Burnley
Pilkington (28'), Gelhardt (67')
Rodriguez (5'), McNeil (11')
Mar 20, 2010 3pm
Wigan
1-0
Burnley
Rodallega (90')
Bramble (68')

McDonald (76'), Duff (80'), Mears (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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