We said: Burnley 2-0 Wigan Athletic
With Wigan having tightened things up at the back under Maloney, they will have the mindset that they can earn a surprise result at Turf Moor. Nevertheless, no team is yet to beat Burnley as the away side this campaign, and we do not expect that to start at the weekend.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 70.12%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 11.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a Wigan Athletic win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.