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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Burnley logo

Luton
0 - 1
Burnley


Lockyer (77'), Adebayo (80')
Lockyer (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Barnes (78' pen.)
Brownhill (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 1-1 Luton
Wednesday, February 15 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 1-1 Watford
Tuesday, February 14 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 0-2 Burnley

Luton are hunting for a top six place this season but will still regard this clash with Burnley as a free hit, highlighting how good Kompany's men are proving to be this term. The Clarets will be energised by their late equaliser against Watford last time out and should be able to earn three points in this one, even if the defence is slightly makeshift. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 37.06%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 36.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawBurnley
37.06% (0.097999999999999 0.1) 26.53% (0.049999999999997 0.05) 36.41% (-0.146 -0.15)
Both teams to score 52.46% (-0.17 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.58% (-0.211 -0.21)52.42% (0.213 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.9% (-0.182 -0.18)74.1% (0.18300000000001 0.18)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.62% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)27.38% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.15% (-0.058 -0.06)62.85% (0.059999999999995 0.06)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.24% (-0.187 -0.19)27.76% (0.189 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.67% (-0.242 -0.24)63.33% (0.244 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 37.06%
    Burnley 36.41%
    Draw 26.52%
Luton TownDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 9.84% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.17% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.38% (0.038 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.53% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.75% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.14% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 37.06%
1-1 @ 12.61% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.6% (0.064 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.24% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.52%
0-1 @ 9.74% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.09% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.24% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.46% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.67% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 36.41%

How you voted: Luton vs Burnley

Luton Town
19.4%
Draw
17.9%
Burnley
62.7%
67
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Burnley
1-1
Luton
Brownhill (50')
Barnes (89'), Roberts (90+4')
Potts (5')
Morris (66')
Mar 31, 2007 3pm
Oct 31, 2006 3pm
Luton
0-2
Burnley
Gray (31', 36')
Foster (22'), Elliott (51')
Foster (73')
Apr 30, 2006 3pm
Burnley
1-1
Luton
Lafferty (78')
Vine (42')
Brkovic (67'), Barnett (90')
Nov 5, 2005 3pm
Luton
2-3
Burnley
Howard (43'), Feeney (60')
Barnett (54')
Akinbiyi (15', 31', 54')
Jensen (39')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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