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Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
The DW Stadium
Luton Town

Wigan
0 - 2
Luton


McClean (72'), Caulker (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cornick (11'), Adebayo (53')
Adebayo (72'), Potts (77'), Clark (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Wigan Athletic and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 1-2 Luton
Tuesday, January 17 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

We said: Wigan Athletic 1-2 Luton Town

The most recent two meetings have been closer than many anticipated, and we expect another competitive match here. However, we feel like the same scoreline as Tuesday is the most likely outcome, albeit not with a last-gasp winner on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 50.6%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 22.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.32%) and 1-2 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Wigan Athletic win it was 1-0 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result
Wigan AthleticDrawLuton Town
22.61% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 26.79% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 50.6% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 44.34% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.73% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)59.27% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.32% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)79.68% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.02% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)41.98% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.58% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)78.41% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.41% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)23.59% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.34% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)57.65% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Wigan Athletic 22.61%
    Luton Town 50.59%
    Draw 26.79%
Wigan AthleticDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 8.59% (0.013 0.01)
2-1 @ 5.39% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 3.73% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 1.56%
3-2 @ 1.13% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.13%
Total : 22.61%
1-1 @ 12.41% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.9% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 26.79%
0-1 @ 14.3% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 10.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.97% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 4.97% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.32% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.0039999999999998 -0)
0-4 @ 1.8% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.56% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 50.59%

How you voted: Wigan vs Luton

Wigan Athletic
23.3%
Draw
14.0%
Luton Town
62.8%
43
Head to Head
Jan 17, 2023 7.45pm
Third Round Replays
Wigan
1-2
Luton
Aasgaard (46')
Power (45+2'), Whatmough (56'), Tilt (79'), Hughes (90+7')
Woodrow (51'), Adebayo (90+8')
Burke (89')
Jan 7, 2023 5.30pm
Third Round
Luton
1-1
Wigan
Cornick (45+1')
Potts (89')
Naylor (17')
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Luton
1-2
Wigan
Morris (39')
Morris (70')
Lockyer (80' og.), Aasgaard (88')
Power (90+3')
Dec 7, 2019 3pm
Luton
2-1
Wigan
McManaman (87'), Moncur (92')
Moncur (93')
Moore (35')
Dunkley (49'), Pilkington (54'), Garner (61')
Dunkley (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds30189360194163
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd30196541212061
3Burnley30151323692758
4Sunderland291510442241855
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn30136113429545
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom301014639271244
7Middlesbrough29128947361144
8Norwich CityNorwich30119104942742
9Bristol City30101283835342
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds30119104346-342
11Coventry CityCoventry30118114138341
12Watford30125134042-241
13Millwall301010103027340
14Queens Park RangersQPR30911103339-638
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd30910113444-1037
17Swansea CitySwansea3097143242-1034
18Stoke CityStoke30711122837-932
19Cardiff CityCardiff30710133351-1831
20Portsmouth3079143652-1630
21Hull City3078153140-929
22Derby CountyDerby3076173241-927
23Luton TownLuton3076173049-1927
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth30510152963-3425


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