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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
West Brom logo

Luton
2 - 3
West Brom

Morris (7'), Adebayo (10')
Ruddock (43'), Campbell (88'), Bree (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Dike (39'), Molumby (65'), Townsend (67')
Molumby (62'), Dike (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 1-1 Wigan
Saturday, January 7 at 5.30pm in FA Cup

We said: Luton Town 1-2 West Bromwich Albion

This is arguably the most attractive match of the second tier this weekend, and we expect strong performances to boot. However, the Baggies may just about edge this contest, taking advantage of more inconsistency from Luton who have just three home wins all season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 32.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawWest Bromwich Albion
40.59% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01) 26.68% (0.0019999999999989 0) 32.73% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.48% (0.00099999999999767 0)53.52% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.96% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)75.04% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.07% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)25.93% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.07% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)60.93% (0.012 0.01)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.39% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)30.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.15% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)66.85% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 40.59%
    West Bromwich Albion 32.73%
    Draw 26.68%
Luton TownDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 10.71%
2-1 @ 8.56% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.23% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.85% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.28%
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 40.59%
1-1 @ 12.68%
0-0 @ 7.94% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.07%
Other @ 1%
Total : 26.68%
0-1 @ 9.4% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 7.51% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 5.56% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.96% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 2.2% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 32.73%

How you voted: Luton vs West Brom

Luton Town
35.7%
Draw
23.8%
West Bromwich Albion
40.5%
42
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Luton
2-0
West Brom
Jerome (55'), Campbell (83')
Bell (36'), Campbell (86')

Ajayi (29'), Molumby (84'), Bartley (84')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
West Brom
3-2
Luton
Naismith (5' og.), Robinson (36'), Grant (66')
Mowatt (29'), Zohore (90+4')
Cornick (70'), Ruddock (90+7')
Campbell (15'), Osho (74')
Aug 17, 2019 3pm
Luton
1-2
West Brom
Cornick (15')
Potts (65'), Shinnie (89')
Diangana (48', 51')
rhs 2.0
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23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
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