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Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 19, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Bristol City

Swansea
2 - 0
Bristol City

Cullen (34'), Ntcham (77')
Manning (82'), Piroe (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Wells (74'), Sykes (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 2-1 Swansea
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 1-0 Bristol City
Wednesday, March 15 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-1 Bristol City

Such is the increasing pressure on Swansea that Bristol City will fancy their chances of inflicting another defeat on their hosts. Nevertheless, even with the Robins in a position where they need to push for maximum points, we expect Swansea to do enough to earn a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 49.89%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 25.15% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawBristol City
49.89% (1.773 1.77) 24.95% (-0.465 -0.47) 25.15% (-1.311 -1.31)
Both teams to score 52.13% (0.251 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.61% (0.901 0.9)50.38% (-0.903 -0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.68% (0.792 0.79)72.32% (-0.794 -0.79)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.79% (1.116 1.12)20.21% (-1.119 -1.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.48% (1.757 1.76)52.52% (-1.761 -1.76)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.33% (-0.61 -0.61)34.67% (0.607 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.6% (-0.651 -0.65)71.39% (0.64700000000001 0.65)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 49.89%
    Bristol City 25.15%
    Draw 24.94%
Swansea CityDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 11.2% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.149 0.15)
2-0 @ 8.96% (0.285 0.29)
3-1 @ 5.06% (0.247 0.25)
3-0 @ 4.78% (0.308 0.31)
3-2 @ 2.68% (0.088 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.02% (0.163 0.16)
4-0 @ 1.91% (0.183 0.18)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 49.89%
1-1 @ 11.86% (-0.22 -0.22)
0-0 @ 7.01% (-0.259 -0.26)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.94%
0-1 @ 7.42% (-0.402 -0.4)
1-2 @ 6.29% (-0.224 -0.22)
0-2 @ 3.93% (-0.283 -0.28)
1-3 @ 2.22% (-0.117 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.39% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 25.15%

How you voted: Swansea vs Bristol City

Swansea City
48.1%
Draw
22.2%
Bristol City
29.6%
27
Head to Head
Jan 17, 2023 7.45pm
Third Round Replays
Swansea
1-2
Bristol City
Cooper (73')
Wood (90+4'), Cundle (94'), Latibeaudiere (120+2')
Sykes (62'), Bell (112')
Pring (75'), Semenyo (120+2')
Jan 8, 2023 12.30pm
Third Round
Bristol City
1-1
Swansea
Semenyo (75')
Naismith (39'), Pring (84')
Piroe (15')
Allen (45+3'), Wood (62'), Darling (69')
Oct 29, 2022 12pm
Feb 13, 2022 1pm
Swansea
3-1
Bristol City
Obafemi (54'), Christie (79'), Piroe (90+4')
Obafemi (56'), Christie (90+2')
Weimann (42')
Klose (59'), Dasilva (69'), Semenyo (86'), Martin (90+2'), Williams (90+4')
Aug 20, 2021 7.45pm
Bristol City
0-1
Swansea

Simpson (36'), Weimann (58'), Atkinson (76'), Semenyo (84')
Piroe (19')
Fulton (17'), Piroe (35'), Manning (47'), Bidwell (57'), Latibeaudiere (67'), Grimes (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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