We said: Sunderland 2-1 Bristol City
With Bristol City having avoided defeat since the back end of December, they are playing with enough belief to earn a positive result versus most teams in the second tier. However, we fancy a Sunderland side spurred on by their home support to edge this fixture by the odd goal in three.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 53.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 22.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.