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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 46.13%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 27.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Millwall | Draw | Sunderland |
46.13% (![]() | 26.52% (![]() | 27.36% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.27% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.99% (![]() | 55.01% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.72% (![]() | 76.28% (![]() |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.19% (![]() | 23.81% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.02% (![]() | 57.98% (![]() |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.67% (![]() | 35.33% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.91% (![]() | 72.09% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Millwall | Draw | Sunderland |
1-0 @ 12.07% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.01% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.66% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.31% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.14% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.24% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.55% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.49% ( ![]() Other @ 2.65% Total : 46.12% | 1-1 @ 12.56% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.41% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.69% ( ![]() Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.52% | 0-1 @ 8.75% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.53% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.55% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.27% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.63% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.58% ( ![]() Other @ 2.05% Total : 27.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 60 | 19 | 41 | 63 |
2 | Burnley | 31 | 16 | 13 | 2 | 37 | 9 | 28 | 61 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 41 | 21 | 20 | 61 |
4 | Sunderland | 30 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 45 | 26 | 19 | 58 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 45 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 30 | 10 | 14 | 6 | 39 | 27 | 12 | 44 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 44 |
8 | Norwich CityNorwich | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 42 |
9 | Bristol City | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 42 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 42 |
11 | Coventry CityCoventry | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 41 |
12 | Watford | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 31 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 41 |
14 | Millwall | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 40 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 37 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 37 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 34 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 32 |
19 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 31 |
20 | Portsmouth | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 30 |
21 | Hull City | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 29 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 27 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 27 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 29 | 63 | -34 | 25 |
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