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Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Millwall logo

Cardiff
0 - 1
Millwall


Rinomhota (38'), Allsop (62'), Kipre (72')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bradshaw (26')
Bradshaw (20'), Cooper (28'), Styles (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 5-2 Cardiff
Wednesday, January 18 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

We said: Cardiff City 1-1 Millwall

Cardiff are in danger of slipping into the relegation zone in the Championship while they scramble to appoint a new manager, with the Welsh side needing to find a way to earn three points on Saturday. Millwall have faltered on the road this season so will be not expecting to breeze past a struggling Cardiff side, meaning a share of the spoils is likely this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 43.44%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawMillwall
43.44% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01) 27.13% (0.0020000000000024 0) 29.43% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.68% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)56.32% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.65% (-0.004999999999999 -0)77.35% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.28% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)25.72% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.36% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)60.64% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)34.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.88% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)71.12% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 43.43%
    Millwall 29.43%
    Draw 27.13%
Cardiff CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 12.01%
2-1 @ 8.71% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 8.16% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 3.94% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 3.69% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 43.43%
1-1 @ 12.82% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.85% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.13%
0-1 @ 9.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 6.84% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.04% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.79% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 29.43%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Millwall

Cardiff City
34.6%
Draw
34.6%
Millwall
30.8%
52
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Millwall
2-0
Cardiff
Cresswell (63'), Afobe (90')
Styles (76'), Wallace (88')

Kipre (46'), Romeo (53')
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Cardiff
3-1
Millwall
Flint (66', 70'), Morrison (83')
Flint (51'), Nelson (86')
Afobe (76')
Cooper (65')
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Cardiff
1-1
Millwall
Moore (71')
Bennett (69'), Vaulks (76'), Morrison (84')
Flint (9' og.)
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds29179353193460
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley29151223692757
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Millwall29910102826237
15Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2978143652-1629
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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