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FA Cup
Bristol City
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 8, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Swansea logo

Bristol City
1 - 1
Swansea

Semenyo (75')
Naismith (39'), Pring (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Piroe (15')
Allen (45+3'), Wood (62'), Darling (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Bristol City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol City

All competitions
Last Game: Coventry 1-1 Bristol City
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

Swansea City

All competitions
Last Game: Swansea 1-2 Burnley
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 1-2 Swansea City

 Although both clubs have struggled of late, there will be a level of encouragement from their recent results. It remains a difficult match to call, yet we feel that Swansea's greater attacking threat could prove key at Ashton Gate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 28.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawSwansea City
28.55% (0.409 0.41) 24.88% (0.187 0.19) 46.57% (-0.602 -0.6)
Both teams to score 55.18% (-0.328 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.3% (-0.566 -0.57)47.7% (0.559 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.1% (-0.525 -0.52)69.89% (0.51900000000001 0.52)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.43% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)30.56% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.21% (0.011000000000003 0.01)66.79% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.46% (-0.48699999999999 -0.49)20.53% (0.481 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.96% (-0.774 -0.77)53.04% (0.76799999999999 0.77)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 28.55%
    Swansea City 46.57%
    Draw 24.87%
Bristol CityDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 7.44% (0.174 0.17)
2-1 @ 6.98% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
2-0 @ 4.41% (0.105 0.11)
3-1 @ 2.76% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.74% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 28.55%
1-1 @ 11.77% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 6.28% (0.145 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.87%
0-1 @ 9.93% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
1-2 @ 9.32% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-2 @ 7.86% (-0.050999999999999 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.92% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-3 @ 4.15% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.92% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.95% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-4 @ 1.64% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.15% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 46.57%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Swansea

Bristol City
29.9%
Draw
19.4%
Swansea City
50.7%
67
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 12pm
Bristol City
1-1
Swansea
Conway (24')
Pring (90+4')
Ntcham (76')
Feb 13, 2022 1pm
Swansea
3-1
Bristol City
Obafemi (54'), Christie (79'), Piroe (90+4')
Obafemi (56'), Christie (90+2')
Weimann (42')
Klose (59'), Dasilva (69'), Semenyo (86'), Martin (90+2'), Williams (90+4')
Aug 20, 2021 7.45pm
Bristol City
0-1
Swansea

Simpson (36'), Weimann (58'), Atkinson (76'), Semenyo (84')
Piroe (19')
Fulton (17'), Piroe (35'), Manning (47'), Bidwell (57'), Latibeaudiere (67'), Grimes (90')
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Swansea
1-3
Bristol City
Ayew (55' pen.)
Bidwell (61')
Wells (66'), Palmer (80'), Semenyo (90+7')
Towler (25'), Semenyo (90+10')
Oct 24, 2020 3pm
Bristol City
1-1
Swansea
Wells (83' pen.)
Wells (89')
Lowe (51')
Smith (32'), Roberts (80'), Fulton (81'), Grimes (83'), Ayew (87')
rhs 2.0
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