MX23RW : Wednesday, January 22 04:32:23| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 37
Mar 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Bristol City

Luton
1 - 0
Bristol City

Morris (4')
Morris (34'), Berry (62'), Bell (78'), Adebayo (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Vyner (51'), Pring (64'), Sykes (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Utd 0-1 Luton
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 2-0 Bristol City

Expectation is building at Luton, something which could either boost or destabilise their promotion bid. On this occasion, we feel that it will be the former as we expect the Hatters to put on a professional display, motivated to improve in front of their own supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 49.95%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Luton Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Luton Town.

Result
Luton TownDrawBristol City
49.95% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07) 25.95% (0.103 0.1) 24.1% (-0.035999999999998 -0.04)
Both teams to score 48.14% (-0.328 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.89% (-0.409 -0.41)55.11% (0.411 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.64% (-0.339 -0.34)76.36% (0.342 0.34)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.89% (-0.199 -0.2)22.11% (0.201 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.53% (-0.301 -0.3)55.47% (0.303 0.3)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.8% (-0.261 -0.26)38.2% (0.263 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.04% (-0.25 -0.25)74.96% (0.25200000000001 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 49.94%
    Bristol City 24.1%
    Draw 25.95%
Luton TownDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 12.74% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 9.62% (0.038 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.26% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.66% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.83% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.76% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 49.94%
1-1 @ 12.26% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.45% (0.134 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.45% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 8.13% (0.071000000000002 0.07)
1-2 @ 5.9% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.91% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.89% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.26% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 24.1%

How you voted: Luton vs Bristol City

Luton Town
64.5%
Draw
17.7%
Bristol City
17.7%
62
Head to Head
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Bristol City
2-0
Luton
Wells (5'), Conway (27')
Wells (61'), Weimann (67')
Sykes (67')

Freeman (67'), Bradley (67')
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
Luton
2-1
Bristol City
Lockyer (42'), Adebayo (68')
Berry (24'), Kioso (90+6')
Weimann (56')
Semenyo (62'), Pring (67')
Sep 15, 2021 7.45pm
Bristol City
1-1
Luton
Baker (57')
Pring (37')
Hylton (90+1')
Lansbury (84'), Bree (88')
Apr 25, 2021 1pm
Bristol City
2-3
Luton
Wells (31'), Nagy (38')
Collins (59'), Adebayo (68'), Cornick (74')
Dec 29, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
2Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
3Sunderland28159440221854
4Burnley27141123192253
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
10Bristol City2791083331237
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
12Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
20Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
21Hull City2868142738-1126
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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