Championship | Gameweek 29
Feb 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Swansea1 - 3Stoke
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Blackburn 1-0 Swansea
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackpool 1-0 Stoke
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Swansea City 2-1 Stoke City
Given the inconsistencies of both teams, this is a difficult match to call. Nevertheless, with Stoke having lost three away games in succession, we cannot back the visitors, with Swansea potentially edging this fixture by the odd goal in three. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 45.17%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Stoke City |
45.17% ( -1.69) | 25.8% ( 0.54) | 29.03% ( 1.15) |
| Both teams to score 52.51% ( -0.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.68% ( -1.6) | 51.33% ( 1.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.85% ( -1.42) | 73.15% ( 1.42) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.33% ( -1.44) | 22.67% ( 1.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.68% ( -2.18) | 56.32% ( 2.18) |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.91% ( 0.03) | 32.09% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.44% ( 0.03) | 68.56% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
Swansea City 45.16%
Stoke City 29.03%
Draw 25.8%
| Swansea City | Draw | Stoke City |
| 1-0 @ 10.79% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.19)2-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.3)3-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.27)3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.17)4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.19)4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.17)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.14% Total : 45.16% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.46)2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.8% | 0-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.52) 1-2 @ 6.98% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.3)1-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.7% Total : 29.03% |
How you voted: Swansea vs Stoke
Swansea City
67.0%Draw
22.7%Stoke City
10.2%88
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 3, 2021 8.15pm
