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Championship | Gameweek 29
Feb 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Stoke logo

Swansea
1 - 3
Stoke

Whittaker (2')
Sorinola (28'), Grimes (45+2'), Cabango (46'), Manning (55')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Laurent (15', 20'), Baker (90+4')
Neil (29'), Gayle (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackburn 1-0 Swansea
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackpool 1-0 Stoke
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 2-1 Stoke City

Given the inconsistencies of both teams, this is a difficult match to call. Nevertheless, with Stoke having lost three away games in succession, we cannot back the visitors, with Swansea potentially edging this fixture by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 45.17%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Swansea CityDrawStoke City
45.17% (-1.686 -1.69) 25.8% (0.542 0.54) 29.03% (1.146 1.15)
Both teams to score 52.51% (-0.956 -0.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.68% (-1.601 -1.6)51.33% (1.602 1.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.85% (-1.415 -1.42)73.15% (1.417 1.42)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.33% (-1.437 -1.44)22.67% (1.438 1.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.68% (-2.177 -2.18)56.32% (2.18 2.18)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.91% (0.028000000000006 0.03)32.09% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.44% (0.030000000000001 0.03)68.56% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 45.16%
    Stoke City 29.03%
    Draw 25.8%
Swansea CityDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 10.79% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.193 -0.19)
2-0 @ 8.01% (-0.175 -0.18)
3-1 @ 4.51% (-0.298 -0.3)
3-0 @ 3.96% (-0.265 -0.27)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.168 -0.17)
4-1 @ 1.67% (-0.189 -0.19)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.168 -0.17)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.107 -0.11)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 45.16%
1-1 @ 12.27% (0.27 0.27)
0-0 @ 7.28% (0.455 0.46)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.8%
0-1 @ 8.27% (0.523 0.52)
1-2 @ 6.98% (0.158 0.16)
0-2 @ 4.7% (0.3 0.3)
1-3 @ 2.64% (0.062 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.78% (0.115 0.12)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 29.03%

How you voted: Swansea vs Stoke

Swansea City
Draw
Stoke City
Swansea City
67.0%
Draw
22.7%
Stoke City
10.2%
88
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2022 7.45pm
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Stoke
3-0
Swansea
Philogene-Bidace (47'), Baker (59' pen.), Brown (78')
Wilmot (45'), Brown (85')

Christie (26'), Grimes (29'), Ntcham (31'), Wolf (85')
Bennett (58')
Aug 17, 2021 7.45pm
Swansea
1-3
Stoke
Piroe (73')
Powell (15'), Clucas (53'), Skiri Oestigaard (60')
Clucas (53'), Tymon (81')
Mar 3, 2021 8.15pm
Stoke
1-2
Swansea
Powell (6')
Roberts (19'), Ayew (90+5' pen.)
Manning (71')
Oct 27, 2020 7.45pm
Swansea
2-0
Stoke
Fulton (30'), Palmer (87')
Grimes (53'), Palmer (85')

Smith (51'), McClean (84'), Gunn (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds382311476255180
2Burnley382115252114178
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd37247652282477
4Sunderland381912755371869
5Coventry CityCoventry38178135548759
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom381318748341457
7Bristol City38141594941857
8Middlesbrough38159145748954
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn38157164240252
10Watford38157164751-452
11Millwall381312133739-251
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds37149145358-551
13Norwich CityNorwich381213136054649
14Preston North EndPreston381017113944-547
15Queens Park RangersQPR381112154450-645
16Swansea CitySwansea38128183849-1144
17Portsmouth38119184661-1542
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd381012163955-1642
19Hull City381011173947-841
20Stoke CityStoke38912173751-1439
21Cardiff CityCardiff38912174262-2039
22Derby CountyDerby38108204051-1138
23Luton TownLuton3898213460-2635
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth38712194077-3733


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