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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 30.6% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.95%) and 1-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-0 (11.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.
Result | ||
Swansea City | Draw | Stoke City |
30.6% | 29.33% | 40.06% |
Both teams to score 43.18% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.49% | 63.51% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.17% | 82.84% |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.61% | 37.4% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.82% | 74.18% |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.97% | 31.03% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.66% | 67.34% |
Score Analysis |
Swansea City | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 11.41% 2-1 @ 6.57% 2-0 @ 5.61% 3-1 @ 2.15% 3-0 @ 1.84% 3-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.75% Total : 30.6% | 1-1 @ 13.35% 0-0 @ 11.6% 2-2 @ 3.84% Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.32% | 0-1 @ 13.57% 0-2 @ 7.95% 1-2 @ 7.82% 0-3 @ 3.1% 1-3 @ 3.05% 2-3 @ 1.5% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.17% Total : 40.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
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