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Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
QPR logo

Stoke
0 - 1
QPR


Campbell (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Adomah (48')
Laird (20'), Field (53'), Amos (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 1-1 Stoke
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 1-2 QPR
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-2 Queens Park Rangers

Stoke have allowed their season to fizzle out over the last few games and now face a tough assignment against a QPR side full of talent despite their league standing. The R's have earned notable results at West Bromwich Albion and Burnley during their last two away matches, and we believe their travelling fans will have another success to celebrate on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 54.58%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 21.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Queens Park Rangers would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawQueens Park Rangers
54.58% (-0.0040000000000049 -0) 23.97% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 21.45% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.84% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.03% (-0.103 -0.1)49.96% (0.104 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.05% (-0.093 -0.09)71.95% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.8% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)18.2% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.79% (-0.07 -0.07)49.21% (0.071000000000005 0.07)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.15% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)37.85% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.38% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)74.62% (0.072999999999993 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 54.57%
    Queens Park Rangers 21.45%
    Draw 23.97%
Stoke CityDrawQueens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 11.73% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 10% (0.016 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 5.68% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 5.52% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.42% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 2.35% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 54.57%
1-1 @ 11.4% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.89% (0.03 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.72% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 23.97%
0-1 @ 6.69% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.54% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.25%
1-3 @ 1.79% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.05% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 21.45%

How you voted: Stoke vs QPR

Stoke City
33.3%
Draw
22.2%
Queens Park Rangers
44.4%
27
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
gameweek 11
QPR
0-0
Stoke

Taylor (87')
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
gameweek 44
Stoke
1-0
QPR
Brown (45+1')

Dunne (13')
Dec 5, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 21
QPR
0-2
Stoke
Campbell (14'), Vrancic (78')
Fox (53')
May 1, 2021 3pm
gameweek 45
Stoke
0-2
QPR

Brown (86')
Austin (17'), Kakay (70')
Barbet (28'), Bonne (90')
Dec 15, 2020 5.30pm
gameweek 19
QPR
0-0
Stoke

Barbet (31'), Hamalainen (50')

Souttar (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
2Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
3Sunderland28159440221854
4Burnley27141123192253
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
10Bristol City2791083331237
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
12Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
20Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
21Hull City2868142738-1126
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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