Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Den
Millwall1 - 0Stoke
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Norwich 3-1 Millwall
Sunday, August 20 at 12pm in Championship
Sunday, August 20 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 1-0 Watford
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Millwall 1-2 Stoke City
At some point, the assumption is that this Millwall squad will eventually start to click and make a playoff push. For now, though, we can only back a Stoke side who have settled well, and their extra firepower could prove key in the closing stages. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 31.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Millwall | Draw | Stoke City |
31.96% ( -0.19) | 27.13% ( 0.08) | 40.9% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 49.77% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.51% ( -0.37) | 55.49% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.33% ( -0.3) | 76.67% ( 0.3) |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.86% ( -0.32) | 32.14% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.38% ( -0.37) | 68.62% ( 0.36) |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.33% ( -0.11) | 26.66% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.09% ( -0.15) | 61.91% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
Millwall 31.96%
Stoke City 40.9%
Draw 27.13%
| Millwall | Draw | Stoke City |
| 1-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.3% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.76% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.74% Total : 31.96% | 1-1 @ 12.85% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.13% | 0-1 @ 11.32% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 8.5% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.49% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 2.1% Total : 40.9% |
How you voted: Millwall vs Stoke
Millwall
0.0%Draw
30.0%Stoke City
70.0%10
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
