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EFL Cup
Millwall logo
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Den
Reading logo

Millwall
0 - 4
Reading


Leonard (25'), Saville (62'), Evans (85'), Bryan (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ehibhaimha (1', 51'), Savage (67'), Camara (88')
Knibbs (10'), Camara (19'), Rushesha (39'), Carson (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Millwall and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions
Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in Championship

Reading

All competitions
Last Game: Reading 0-1 Peterborough
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One

We said: Millwall 2-0 Reading

 Millwall recorded a statement victory at Boro on Saturday and will return to The Den desperate to put on an exciting performance in front of their home faithful against League One opposition. Reading will be happy to see the back of their Berkshire home for a few days after four straight losses spanning over pre-season and their third-tier opener, but we cannot see Selles's men being successful in the capital on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 55.97%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Reading had a probability of 19.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawReading
55.97% (0.025000000000006 0.03) 24.39% (-0.012 -0.01) 19.64% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 47.02% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.3% (0.028999999999996 0.03)53.7% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.81% (0.024000000000001 0.02)75.18% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.92% (0.021000000000001 0.02)19.08% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.31% (0.033999999999999 0.03)50.68% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.11%41.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.66% (0.0010000000000012 0)78.34% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 55.96%
    Reading 19.64%
    Draw 24.39%
MillwallDrawReading
1-0 @ 13.24%
2-0 @ 10.96%
2-1 @ 9.54% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 6.06% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.27% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-0 @ 2.51% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 2.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 55.96%
1-1 @ 11.52%
0-0 @ 7.99% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.15% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 24.39%
0-1 @ 6.95% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.01% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 3.03% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.45%
2-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 19.64%

How you voted: Millwall vs Reading

Millwall
81.3%
Draw
12.5%
Reading
6.3%
16
Head to Head
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Reading
0-1
Millwall
Voglsammer (11' pen.)
> Preview
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Millwall
0-1
Reading
Sarr (14')
Holmes (82')
> Preview
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 36
Reading
0-1
Millwall

Rinomhota (56'), Yiadom (90')
Cooper (37')
Wallace (11'), Cooper (45')
> Preview
Nov 2, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Millwall
1-0
Reading
Afobe (71')
Kieftenbeld (31'), Leonard (88')
> Preview
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 29
Reading
1-2
Millwall
Semedo (17')
Smith (76'), Bennett (85')
Hutchinson (65'), Wallace (90')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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