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Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Select Car Leasing Stadium
Millwall logo

Reading
0 - 1
Millwall


Ince (0'), Ince (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Voglsammer (11' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Reading and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reading 0-1 Sheff Utd
Tuesday, March 7 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 2-3 Norwich
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Reading 0-1 Millwall

News of Reading's imminent six-point deduction has appeared to have distracted the playing staff, and the visit of a strong Millwall side is not an occasion to have the focus elsewhere. The Lions put in a valiant effort despite defeat against Norwich last Saturday, and they should be able to return to winning ways in Berkshire as the playoff race intensifies. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 48.63%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Reading had a probability of 25.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.33%) and 1-2 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a Reading win it was 1-0 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Millwall in this match.

Result
ReadingDrawMillwall
25.12% (-0.148 -0.15) 26.25% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 48.63% (0.13500000000001 0.14)
Both teams to score 48.25% (-0.163 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.55% (-0.148 -0.15)55.45% (0.145 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.36% (-0.121 -0.12)76.64% (0.119 0.12)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.53% (-0.213 -0.21)37.47% (0.21 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.75% (-0.21 -0.21)74.25% (0.208 0.21)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.16% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)22.84% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.44% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)56.56% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Reading 25.12%
    Millwall 48.63%
    Draw 26.25%
ReadingDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 8.4% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 6.09% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.12% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.99% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.47% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.35% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 25.12%
1-1 @ 12.4%
0-0 @ 8.56% (0.048 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 26.25%
0-1 @ 12.63% (0.07 0.07)
0-2 @ 9.33% (0.052 0.05)
1-2 @ 9.16%
0-3 @ 4.59% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.51%
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.7% (0.01 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 48.63%

How you voted: Reading vs Millwall

Reading
28.6%
Draw
22.9%
Millwall
48.6%
35
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Nov 2, 2021 7.45pm
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Nov 25, 2020 7pm
Millwall
1-1
Reading
Wallace (45+1')
Cooper (10'), Williams (52'), Hutchinson (70'), Leonard (85')
Joao (53')
Semedo (30'), Morrison (55'), Ejaria (60'), Holmes (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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