Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 48.11%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Reading had a probability of 24.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Millwall in this match.
