Championship | Gameweek 14
Oct 23, 2021 at 3pm UK
The Den
Millwall2 - 1Stoke
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 35.89%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.63%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (11.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Millwall | Draw | Stoke City |
| 35.89% | 28.37% | 35.73% |
| Both teams to score 46.69% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
