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Championship | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Millwall logo

Middlesbrough
0 - 1
Millwall


Howson (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Esse (79')
Bryan (25'), Nisbet (46'), Cooper (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-2 Auxerre
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Millwall 1-2 Sittard
Saturday, July 29 at 12.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Millwall

Even though this is the opening weekend, the pressure is on Boro to make a fast start. We feel that may not necessarily help them going forward, yet Carrick's side may just about edge an hard-fought contest at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 34.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawMillwall
39.58% (-1.703 -1.7) 26.18% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 34.23% (1.664 1.66)
Both teams to score 53.36% (0.313 0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.82% (0.211 0.21)51.17% (-0.214 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.98% (0.183 0.18)73.02% (-0.187 -0.19)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.6% (-0.795 -0.8)25.39% (0.792 0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.8% (-1.104 -1.1)60.2% (1.101 1.1)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.52% (1.167 1.17)28.48% (-1.171 -1.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.75% (1.446 1.45)64.25% (-1.45 -1.45)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 39.58%
    Millwall 34.23%
    Draw 26.18%
MiddlesbroughDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 9.91% (-0.308 -0.31)
2-1 @ 8.53% (-0.188 -0.19)
2-0 @ 6.79% (-0.38 -0.38)
3-1 @ 3.9% (-0.179 -0.18)
3-0 @ 3.1% (-0.249 -0.25)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.093 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 39.58%
1-1 @ 12.45% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.23% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.18%
0-1 @ 9.08% (0.216 0.22)
1-2 @ 7.82% (0.26 0.26)
0-2 @ 5.7% (0.314 0.31)
1-3 @ 3.27% (0.211 0.21)
0-3 @ 2.39% (0.204 0.2)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.095 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.03% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 34.23%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Millwall

Middlesbrough
60.0%
Draw
30.0%
Millwall
10.0%
10
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 37
Millwall
0-0
Middlesbrough
Cooper (4'), Ballard (16'), Malone (19'), Wallace (34')
Jones (19')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 18
Middlesbrough
1-1
Millwall
Crooks (15')
Howson (57')
Bamba (27' og.)
Bennett (34'), Cooper (45+3')
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 38
Millwall
1-0
Middlesbrough
Hall (31' og.)
McNamara (35')

Bola (20')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
2Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
3Sunderland28159440221854
4Burnley27141123192253
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
10Bristol City2791083331237
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
12Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
20Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
21Hull City2868142738-1126
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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