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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 53%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 25.17% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.43%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 2-1 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rotherham United | Draw | Middlesbrough |
25.17% ( 0.3) | 21.82% ( 0.02) | 53% ( -0.32) |
Both teams to score 62.76% ( 0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.64% ( 0.19) | 36.36% ( -0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.51% ( 0.21) | 58.49% ( -0.21) |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.88% ( 0.33) | 27.12% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.49% ( 0.43) | 62.51% ( -0.43) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.11% ( -0.04) | 13.89% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.7% ( -0.07) | 41.3% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Rotherham United | Draw | Middlesbrough |
2-1 @ 6.33% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 4.91% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.86% Total : 25.17% | 1-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.32% Total : 21.82% | 1-2 @ 9.58% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.43% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 7.34% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 6.3% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 4.83% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 4.11% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 3.11% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 2.38% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.71% Total : 53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 58 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 51 | 19 | 32 | 56 |
3 | Sunderland | 28 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 40 | 22 | 18 | 54 |
4 | Burnley | 27 | 14 | 11 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 53 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 44 |
6 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 42 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 28 | 9 | 14 | 5 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 41 |
8 | Watford | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 41 |
9 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 38 |
10 | Bristol City | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 37 |
11 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 36 |
13 | Coventry CityCoventry | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 35 |
14 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 35 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 34 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 28 | 7 | 13 | 8 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 34 |
17 | Millwall | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 31 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 28 |
19 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 28 |
20 | Derby CountyDerby | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 27 |
21 | Hull City | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 26 |
22 | Portsmouth | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 26 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 25 | 55 | -30 | 21 |
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