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Championship | Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
Luton Town

Rotherham
0 - 2
Luton


Hjelde (36'), Quina (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Morris (45'), Woodrow (47')
Burke (37'), Campbell (61'), Drameh (78'), Nakamba (90'), Ruddock (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Rotherham United and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rotherham United

All competitions
Last Game: Norwich 0-0 Rotherham
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in Championship

Luton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Luton 3-1 Blackpool
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Rotherham United 1-2 Luton Town

 Rotherham United have shown themselves to be tough to beat in recent weeks and will certainly make things difficult for their third-placed visitors, but we see the in-form Hatters having enough quality to get over the line at the New York Stadium and return home with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 44.15%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 28.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (8.57%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawLuton Town
28.21% (0.406 0.41) 27.63% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06) 44.15% (-0.348 -0.35)
Both teams to score 46.64% (0.397 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.35% (0.386 0.39)58.65% (-0.385 -0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.8% (0.3 0.3)79.2% (-0.298 -0.3)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.39% (0.541 0.54)36.61% (-0.539 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.6% (0.539 0.54)73.4% (-0.53699999999999 -0.54)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.58%26.41% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.42% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)61.58% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 28.21%
    Luton Town 44.15%
    Draw 27.63%
Rotherham UnitedDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 9.72% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-1 @ 6.5% (0.095 0.09)
2-0 @ 4.88% (0.072 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.18% (0.063 0.06)
3-0 @ 1.64% (0.047 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.45% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 28.21%
1-1 @ 12.93%
0-0 @ 9.67% (-0.142 -0.14)
2-2 @ 4.33% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.63%
0-1 @ 12.87% (-0.19 -0.19)
1-2 @ 8.61%
0-2 @ 8.57% (-0.127 -0.13)
1-3 @ 3.82%
0-3 @ 3.8% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.028 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.27%
0-4 @ 1.27% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 44.15%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Luton

Rotherham United
20.8%
Draw
25.0%
Luton Town
54.2%
24
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Luton
1-1
Rotherham
Berry (90')
Lindsay (1')
Harding (19')
May 4, 2021 7pm
Luton
0-0
Rotherham

Smith (43')
Nov 4, 2020 7.45pm
Rotherham
0-1
Luton

Miller (77')
Collins (70')
Berry (90+1')
Mar 31, 2009 3pm
Luton
2-4
Rotherham
Hall (70'), Martin (42')
Martin (16')
Harrison (53'), Reid (11'), Broughton (38')
Mills (16'), Sharps (20'), Broughton (62')
Sep 20, 2008 3pm
Rotherham
1-0
Luton
Rhodes (61')

Gnakpa (38')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318
> Championship Full Table


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