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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 61.39%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Blackpool had a probability of 16.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.82%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Blackpool win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Luton Town | Draw | Blackpool |
61.39% ( -0.39) | 22.32% ( 0.03) | 16.29% ( 0.37) |
Both teams to score 47.07% ( 0.7) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.57% ( 0.52) | 50.43% ( -0.52) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.64% ( 0.46) | 72.36% ( -0.46) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.04% ( 0.05) | 15.95% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.76% ( 0.09) | 45.23% ( -0.09) |
Blackpool Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.01% ( 0.8) | 43.99% ( -0.8) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.88% ( 0.65) | 80.11% ( -0.65) |
Score Analysis |
Luton Town | Draw | Blackpool |
1-0 @ 12.88% ( -0.25) 2-0 @ 11.82% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.98% Total : 61.39% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.74% Total : 22.31% | 0-1 @ 5.76% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.54% Total : 16.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 60 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 58 |
3 | Burnley | 29 | 15 | 12 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 57 |
4 | Sunderland | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 55 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 29 | 10 | 14 | 5 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 44 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 44 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 42 |
8 | Bristol City | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 41 |
9 | Watford | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 41 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 41 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 39 |
12 | Coventry CityCoventry | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 38 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 38 |
14 | Millwall | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 37 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 29 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 37 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 36 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 34 |
18 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 31 |
19 | Hull City | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 29 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 29 |
21 | Portsmouth | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 29 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 27 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 27 | 62 | -35 | 22 |
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