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Sunderland
Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stadium of Light
Luton Town

Sunderland
1 - 1
Luton

Diallo (86' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
Doughty (51')
Lockyer (36'), Adebayo (81'), Woodrow (81'), Morris (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 1-2 Sheff Utd
Wednesday, March 15 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 1-0 Bristol City
Wednesday, March 15 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Sunderland 0-2 Luton Town

Luton Town are full of momentum with their sights set on cracking the top three, while Sunderland are far from their best and low on confidence, and we envisage another victory for Edwards's side as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-0 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
SunderlandDrawLuton Town
32.42% (-0.82 -0.82) 27.23% (-0.216 -0.22) 40.35% (1.034 1.03)
Both teams to score 49.61% (0.445 0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.24% (0.65799999999999 0.66)55.76% (-0.658 -0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.11% (0.533 0.53)76.89% (-0.535 -0.53)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.04% (-0.22200000000001 -0.22)31.96% (0.22 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.59% (-0.253 -0.25)68.41% (0.25200000000001 0.25)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.91% (0.88800000000001 0.89)27.1% (-0.889 -0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.52% (1.145 1.15)62.48% (-1.146 -1.15)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 32.42%
    Luton Town 40.34%
    Draw 27.23%
SunderlandDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 9.88% (-0.312 -0.31)
2-1 @ 7.36% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-0 @ 5.63% (-0.216 -0.22)
3-1 @ 2.8% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.14% (-0.095 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.83% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 32.42%
1-1 @ 12.89% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 8.66% (-0.222 -0.22)
2-2 @ 4.8% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.23%
0-1 @ 11.3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.42% (0.155 0.15)
0-2 @ 7.38% (0.18 0.18)
1-3 @ 3.67% (0.156 0.16)
0-3 @ 3.21% (0.156 0.16)
2-3 @ 2.09% (0.077 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.2% (0.08 0.08)
0-4 @ 1.05% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 40.34%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Luton

Sunderland
30.0%
Draw
15.0%
Luton Town
55.0%
40
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Jan 12, 2019 3pm
Sunderland
1-1
Luton
Maguire (16')
Flanagan (45'), James (75')
Maguire (90')
Collins (67' pen.)
Lee (45'), Shinnie (62'), Collins (80'), McCormack (90')
Hylton (70')
Aug 11, 2018 3pm
Luton
1-1
Sunderland
Pearson (68')
McCormack (56'), Grant (60')
Maja (45')
Matthews (20'), Baldwin (61'), Loovens (90')
May 6, 2007 3pm
Luton
0-5
Sunderland

Coyne (43'), Idrizaj (45'), Keane (85'), Brkovic (89')
Murphy (6', 46'), Stokes (4')
Stokes (26'), Evans (55'), Collins (81')
Dec 9, 2006 3pm
Sunderland
2-1
Luton
Connolly (53'), Murphy (9')
Morgan (5')
Brkovic (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
2Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
3Sunderland28159440221854
4Burnley27141123192253
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
10Bristol City2791083331237
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
12Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
20Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
21Hull City2868142738-1126
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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