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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Bristol City
2 - 2
Middlesbrough

Bell (45+1'), Cornick (49')
Vyner (22'), Weimann (51')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ramsey (58'), Crooks (64')
Smith (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 1-2 Bristol City
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-2 Burnley
Friday, April 7 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 1-2 Middlesbrough

Despite losing their defensive acumen in recent matches, Middlesbrough never need any lessons in breaking down the opposition, and an injury-hit Bristol City side should strap in for a rough ride against the vengeful Boro. The Robins' penchant for goals at Ashton Gate will serve them well, but we still have faith in Carrick's men to get their promotion charge back on track and deal Pearson's side their first Championship home defeat of 2023. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawMiddlesbrough
30.76% (-0.924 -0.92) 24.94% (0.094000000000001 0.09) 44.3% (0.829 0.83)
Both teams to score 56.3% (-0.75700000000001 -0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.17% (-0.794 -0.79)46.83% (0.792 0.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.92% (-0.747 -0.75)69.08% (0.74600000000001 0.75)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.42% (-0.99799999999999 -1)28.58% (0.996 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.63% (-1.267 -1.27)64.37% (1.266 1.27)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.83% (0.040999999999997 0.04)21.17% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.96% (0.067 0.07)54.04% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 30.76%
    Middlesbrough 44.3%
    Draw 24.93%
Bristol CityDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 7.58% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.37% (-0.157 -0.16)
2-0 @ 4.75% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-1 @ 3.08% (-0.154 -0.15)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-0 @ 1.98% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-1 @ 0.96% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 30.76%
1-1 @ 11.76% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 6.05% (0.199 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.72% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.93%
0-1 @ 9.39% (0.321 0.32)
1-2 @ 9.13% (0.074 0.07)
0-2 @ 7.29% (0.258 0.26)
1-3 @ 4.73% (0.045 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.77% (0.139 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.96% (-0.055 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.83% (0.02 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.46% (0.055 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 44.3%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Middlesbrough

Bristol City
15.2%
Draw
17.4%
Middlesbrough
67.4%
46
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Feb 23, 2021 7pm
Middlesbrough
1-3
Bristol City
Fry (80')
Bola (63')
Diedhiou (21', 33'), Wells (37')
Palmer (61'), Hunt (90+1')
Oct 20, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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